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Estimation and Potential Analysis of Land Population Carrying Capacity in Shanghai Metropolis

Bibliographic Data

ID15508709
AuthorsHefeng Wang (0000-0003-2713-0756, Hebei University of Engineering), Yuan Cao (0000-0002-5635-9253, Hebei University of Engineering, corresponding author), Xiaohu Wu (0000-0002-2810-8350, Hebei University of Engineering), Ao Zhao (0009-0009-3835-1870, Hebei University of Engineering), Yi Xie (0000-0002-5154-8266, Hebei University of Engineering)
Year2022
Volume19
Issue14
Pages8240-8240
Publication date2022-07-06
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
PublisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph19148240
PMID35886094
OpenAlexW4283837632
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited31

It is of great practical significance to understand the current situation of urban land carrying capacity, explore its potential space, and continuously improve the economic adaptability and resilience and population carrying capacity of megacities. Based on the guiding principle of territorial spatial division and the concept of moderate-scale resilient cities, combined with GIS technology, this study aims to divide land spaces into three types and construct different index systems to evaluate the land carrying capacity of Shanghai in different spaces. Furthermore, we propose different schemes of estimating subspace land population carrying capacity, and the carrying potential of land population is analysed as well. The acquired results demonstrate three key points. Firstly, the total land population capacity of Shanghai is estimated at 25,476.61-32,047.27 people, with urban land space being the most dominant for the city's population carrying capacity. Furthermore, the inner suburbs carry the largest population, and the urban centre carries a larger population density than other areas. Secondly, there are significant spatial differences in land population carrying potential. Compared with the demographic data from 2017, Shanghai still has a population carrying potential of 1293.30-7863.97 people and a suitable population carrying potential of 4578.64 people. The population of the urban centre is near the upper limit of the estimated population carrying capacity, and the suburbs, especially the outer suburbs, have large population carrying potential. Thirdly, the estimation method adopted in this study can effectively reveal the spatial differences in population carrying capacity and the potential of different land spaces and different regions in Shanghai, with the estimation results being highly credible. The results will provide references for the improvement of the multi-scenario population planning strategy in Shanghai, as well as enrich the research span and methods currently employed in land carrying capacity

Biology · Carrying capacity · Civil engineering · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Geography · Land use · Megacity · Population · Spatial planning · Urbanization · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Demography · Engineering · Environmental Science · Urban Transport and Accessibility · Water Resources and Sustainability · Ecology

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Citations per year0.25
Citation span2022 - 2022 (1)
Highly citedNo

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