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Evaluating Time Influence over Performance of Machine-Learning-Based Diagnosis

A Case Study of Covid-19 Pandemic in Brazil

Bibliographic Data

ID15512890
AuthorsJulliana Gonçalves Marques (0000-0002-0740-1136, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, corresponding author), Luiz Affonso Guedes (0000-0003-2690-1563, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte), Márjory Da Costa-Abreu (0000-0001-7461-7570, Sheffield Hallam University)
Year2022
Volume20
Issue1
Pages136-136
Publication date2022-12-22
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
PublisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph20010136
PMID36612458
OpenAlexW4312174656
LanguageEN
References cited23

Efficiently recognising severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) symptoms enables a quick and accurate diagnosis to be made, and helps in mitigating the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019. However, the emergence of new variants has caused constant changes in the symptoms associate with COVID-19. These constant changes directly impact the performance of machine-learning-based diagnose. In this context, considering the impact of these changes in symptoms over time is necessary for accurate diagnoses. Thus, in this study, we propose a machine-learning-based approach for diagnosing COVID-19 that considers the importance of time in model predictions. Our approach analyses the performance of XGBoost using two different time-based strategies for model training: month-to-month and accumulated strategies. The model was evaluated using known metrics: accuracy, precision, and recall. Furthermore, to explain the impact of feature changes on model prediction, feature importance was measured using the SHAP technique, an XAI technique. We obtained very interesting results: considering time when creating a COVID-19 diagnostic prediction model is advantageous

2019-20 coronavirus outbreak · Constant (computer programming · Context (archaeology · Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19 · Disease · Feature (linguistics · Geography · Machine learning · Medical diagnosis · Pandemic · Pathology · Precision and recall · Predictive modelling · Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2 · Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications · Computer Science · COVID-19 diagnosis using AI · Machine Learning in Healthcare · Medicine · Artificial Intelligence · Virology

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Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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