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Development of Clinical Prediction Rules for One-Year Postoperative Functional Outcome in Patients with Intertrochanteric Fractures

The Intertrochanteric Fracture Ambulatory Prediction (IT-AP) Tool

Bibliographic Data

ID15514390
AuthorsNath Adulkasem (0000-0001-5663-1889, Siriraj Hospital), Phichayut Phinyo (0000-0002-8543-6254, Chiang Mai University, corresponding author), Jiraporn Khorana (0000-0001-9023-0923, Chiang Mai University), Dumnoensun Pruksakorn (0000-0002-5358-9336, Chiang Mai University), Theerachai Apivatthakakul (0000-0001-8374-9540, Chiang Mai University)
Year2021
Volume19
Issue1
Pages177-177
Publication date2021-12-24
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
PublisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph19010177
PMID35010437
OpenAlexW4200043281
LanguageEN
References cited34

Individualized prediction of postoperative ambulatory status for patients with intertrochanteric fractures is clinically relevant, during both preoperative and intraoperative periods. This study intended to develop clinical prediction rules (CPR) to predict one-year postoperative functional outcomes in patients with intertrochanteric fractures. CPR development was based on a secondary analysis of a retrospective cohort of patients with intertrochanteric fractures aged ≥50 years who underwent a surgical fixation. Good ambulatory status was defined as a New Mobility Score ≥ 5. Two CPR for preoperative and intraoperative predictions were derived using clinical profiles and surgical-related parameters using logistic regression with the multivariable fractional polynomial procedure. In this study, 221 patients with intertrochanteric fractures were included. Of these, 160 (72.4%) had good functional status at one year. The preoperative model showed an acceptable AuROC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.85). After surgical-related parameters were incorporated into the preoperative model, the model discriminative ability was significantly improved to an AuROC of 0.83 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.88) ( p = 0.021). The newly-derived CPR enable physicians to provide patients with intertrochanteric fractures with their individualized predictions of functional outcome one year after surgery, which could be used for risk communication, surgical optimization and tailoring postoperative care that fits patients' expectations

Ambulatory · Cohort · Cohort study · Internal fixation · Intertrochanteric fracture · Logistic regression · Retrospective cohort study · Emergency and Acute Care Studies · Hip and Femur Fractures · Medicine · Pelvic and Acetabular Injuries · Internal Medicine · Surgery

  • Comparing the Areas under Two or More Correlated Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves

    Elizabeth R DeLong, David M Delong et al.•Biometrics•1988

  • Prognostic Factors of 1-Year Postoperative Functional Outcomes of Older Patients with Intertrochanteric Fractures in Thailand

    Open Access•Nath Adulkasem, Phichayut Phinyo et al.•International Journal of…•2021

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