Estimación y análisis de la incidencia de VIH en población adulta del Perú
Resultados de la aplicación del modelo matemático MoT
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15533685 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jorge Alarcón (0000-0002-0800-2380, Instituto de Medicina Tropical, corresponding author), Jorge O Alarcón, Mónica Pun (0000-0001-8299-355X, Direccion General de Epidemiologia), César Gutiérrez (0000-0002-0237-321X, Instituto de Medicina Tropical), Alvaro Whittembury (0000-0002-4218-750X, Instituto de Medicina Tropical), Romina A Tejada (0000-0003-4420-5289, Instituto de Medicina Tropical), Romina Tejada, Luis Suarez (0000-0003-3910-0861, Direccion General de Epidemiologia), Gustavo Rosell, Annick Borquez (0000-0002-6033-9837), Paloma Cuchí (0000-0003-2516-0214) |
| Year | 2014 |
| Volume | 29 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Publication date | 2014-02-05 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Revista Peruana de Medicina Experimental y Salud Pública (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1726-4634 • E-ISSN: 1726-4642 |
| Publisher | National Institute of Health of Peru (PUBLISHER • PE) |
| DOI | 10.17843/rpmesp.2012.294.388 |
| OpenAlex | W4245090447 |
| Language | ES |
| References cited | 5 |
Objectives. To estimate HIV incidence in the adult population of Peru, 2010, and analyze its distribution based on risk behavior. Materials and methods. The UNAIDS model was applied based on the modes of transmission (MoT). The information was obtained from the review detailed in 59 documents (1984 – 2008). National databases were also analyzed to obtain specific data. Final selection of data was validated by the technical group and a group of experts. After consultation with experts, values were corrected and an uncertainty analysis was conducted. The model was adjusted to 2009 national prevalence (0.45%). Results. Incidence estimated for 2010 was 0.03%, (4346 new infections). 84% of new infections concentrate on higher risk groups: men who have sex with men (55%) and people who have casual sex with heterosexuals (6.2%). The remaining 16% corresponds to low-risk heterosexual population. Heterosexual transmission accounts for 43% of new cases, 18% of which corresponds to female partners of high risk individuals. Only 2.2% of cases is related to female sexual work and 1.0% to injection drug users. Conclusions. The model provides an estimation of the incidence and its distribution among risk groups according to the mode of transmission, consistent with the HIV case reporting. The model creates scenarios to help decision making and policy formulation, as well as surveillance and planning of prevention and control
Casual · Family medicine · Geography · Gynecology · Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV · Incidence (geometry · Political science · Population · Sociology · Transmission (telecommunications · Computer Science · Demography · HIV, Drug Use, Sexual Risk · HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions · Mathematics · Medicine · Psychology · Public Health and Social Inequalities
From epidemiological synergy to public health policy and practice
Probability of HIV-1 transmission per coital act in monogamous, heterosexual, HIV-1-discordant couples in Rakai, Uganda
Prevalence of HIV, Herpes Simplex Virus-2, and Syphilis in male sex partners of pregnant women in Peru
Gender differences in sexual practices and sexually transmitted infections among adults in Lima, Peru
Profile of male Brazilian injecting drug users who have sex with men
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |