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Moving from total risk to community-based risk trajectories increases transparency and equity in flood risk mitigation planning along urban rivers

Dados Bibliográficos

ID15544288
AutoresKatherine A Serafin (0000-0002-4127-9787, University of Florida, autor correspondente), Jeffrey R Koseff (0000-0003-2121-4844, Stanford University), Derek Ouyang (0000-0001-7823-0752, Stanford University), Jenny Suckale (0000-0002-9787-8180, Stanford University, autor correspondente)
Ano2024
Volume19
Fascículo6
Páginas064039-064039
Data de publicação2024-05-28
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
EditoraIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ad3c58
OpenAlexW4399104397
IdiomaEN
Referências citadas61

After several years of drought, 2023 and early 2024 are reminders of the powers of California’s atmospheric rivers and the devastating flooding they can entail. Aged flood-mitigation infrastructure and climate change exacerbate flood risk for some communities more than for others, highlighting the challenge of equitably mitigating flood risk. Identifying inequities associated with infrastructure projects is now legally required by regional water boards in California, but tools are lacking for making this assessment systematically. We propose that risk trajectories, computed by adding a probabilistic wrapper of flood drivers to models already used in flood-risk-mitigation planning, allows planners to quantify the spatial and temporal variability of risk for communities along river and thereby increase procedural equity by making distributional equity more transparent. While our proposed approach is applicable generally, we demonstrate its impact in the case of San Francisquito Creek, California, where risk trajectories combined with a multi-tier engagement model, helped identify and prevent an inequitable risk transfer

Business · Computer security · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Equity (law · Flood mitigation · Flood myth · Flood risk management · Geography · Political science · Risk management · Transparency (behavior · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Hydrology and Sediment Transport Processes · Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies · Finance

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