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US residential heat pumps

The private economic potential and its emissions, health, and grid impacts

Bibliographic Data

ID15544729
AuthorsThomas A Deetjen (0000-0002-0693-3990, The University of Texas at Austin, corresponding author), Liam Walsh (0009-0000-6643-3886, Carnegie Mellon University), Parth Vaishnav (0000-0003-1582-4523, University of Michigan)
Year2021
Volume16
Issue8
Pages084024-084024
Publication date2021-07-28
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ac10dc
OpenAlexW3186714348
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited20

To explore electrification as a climate change mitigation strategy, we study US residential heat pump adoption, given the current US housing stock. Our research asks (a) how the costs and benefits of heat pump adoption evolve with increased penetration, (b) what rate of heat pump adoption is economic given today’s housing stock, electric grid, energy prices, and heat pump technology, and (c) what effect changing policies, innovations, and technology improvements might have on heat pump adoption. We answer these research questions by simulating the energy consumption of 400 representative single-family houses in each of 55 US cities both before and after heat pump adoption. We use energy prices, CO 2 emissions, health damages from criteria air pollutants, and changes in peak electricity demand to quantify the costs and benefits of each house’s heat pump retrofit. The results show that 32% of US houses would benefit economically from installing a heat pump, and 70% of US houses could reduce emissions damages by installing a heat pump. We show that the potential for heat pump adoption varies depending on electric grid, climate, baseline heating fuel, and housing characteristics. Based on these results we identify strategic, technology, and policy insights to stimulate high heat pump adoption rates and deep electrification of the US residential heating sector, which reduces CO 2 emissions and the impacts of climate change

Business · Economics · Geography · Grid · Natural resource economics · Building Energy and Comfort Optimization · Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Environmental Science · Integrated Energy Systems Optimization

  • Communication research to improve engagement with climate change and human health

    Open Access•Eryn Campbell, Sri Saahitya Uppalapati et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2023

  • Sustainability and affordability of building electrification

    Open Access•Matthew R T Williams, Chris Parker et al.•Sustainable Cities and Society•2024

  • Rescaling energy burden

    Open Access•Marie-Annette Brown, Snehal Kale et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2023

  • Steering sustainability transitions with reflexivity

    Open Access•Cesare Pacini, Dierk Bauknecht•Energy Research & Social Science•2025

  • Social and contextual determinants of heat pump adoption in the US

    Open Access•Miguel Poblete-Cazenave, Narasimha D Rao•Energy Research & Social Science•2023

  • Rebates and grid decarbonization from the Inflation Reduction Act promote equitable adoption of energy efficiency retrofits

    Open Access•J J Joseph, Constantine Samaras et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2025

  • Hybrid heat pumps avoid extreme marginal abatement costs of electrifying peak heating loads in cold regions

    Open Access•Sean Smillie, Parth Vaishnav et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2024

  • Assessment of methane emissions from the U.S. oil and gas supply chain

    Open Access•Ramón A Alvarez, Daniel Zavala‐Araiza et al.•Science•2018

  • Strategic GHG reduction through the use of ground source heat pump technology

    Open Access•Jana Hanova, Hadi Dowlatabadi•Environmental Research Letters•2007

Unique citing works7
Citations per year2,33
Citation span2023 - 2025 (3)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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