The effect of day-to-day temperature variability on agricultural productivity
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15544982 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Zhixiao Zou (0000-0001-9733-1276, Beijing Normal University, corresponding author), Chaohui Li (0000-0002-3951-7141, Peking University), Xudong Wu (0000-0002-9231-2401, Beijing Forestry University), Zheng Meng (0000-0002-8268-9344, China University of Mining and Technology), Changxiu Cheng (0000-0003-2988-8915, Beijing Normal University) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 19 |
| Issue | 12 |
| Pages | 124046-124046 |
| Publication date | 2024-11-05 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ad8ede |
| OpenAlex | W4404065832 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 62 |
With rising extreme weather events due to climate change, the impact on agricultural production has become increasingly severe. Yet, there has been a significant gap in research that assesses the influence of day-to-day temperature variability on agricultural productivity on a global scale. Our study addresses this gap by exploring the effects of day-to-day temperature variability and the change of rainfall patterns on agricultural productivity worldwide from 1961 to 2018. The results reveal that day-to-day temperature variability not only has a direct, negative impact on agricultural total factor productivity (TFP), but also influences it by modulating the effects of monthly average temperatures and wet days. One unit increase of day-to-day temperature variability leads to a 2% decrease in TFP. Day-to-day temperature variability neutralizes the impact of monthly average temperature on TFP, while exacerbating the impact of wet days on TFP. Furthermore, extreme rainfall events result in a consistent negative marginal effect across all countries/seasons/rainfall intervals. This study also identifies differentiated impacts across countries with varying income levels. Low-income regions’ TFP demonstrates markedly significant sensitivities to both monthly average temperatures and daily temperature fluctuations, which means less resilient. Furthermore, the impacts of general and extreme rainfall are comparatively less pronounced in high-income countries, indicating higher resilience to climate variability in these regions and a relative vulnerability to extreme weather events in low-income regions. Our findings illuminate the intricate and multifaceted role that daily temperature variability plays in agricultural productivity, providing a theoretical basis for understanding the heterogeneous impacts of climate change on agriculture and contributing insights into the broader discourse on climate resilience and agricultural sustainability
Agricultural economics · Agricultural productivity · Agriculture · Climatology · Economic growth · Economics · Geography · Natural resource economics · Physics · Present day · Productivity · Environmental Science · Greenhouse Technology and Climate Control · Geology
Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth
Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate
Farming the planet
Implications of climate change for agricultural productivity in the early twenty-first century
Impact of land use change on ecosystem services
Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980
The deadly effect of day-to-day temperature variation in the United States
Linking increases in hourly precipitation extremes to atmospheric temperature and moisture changes
Combined heat and drought suppress rainfed maize and soybean yields and modify irrigation benefits in the USA
The impact of climate extremes and irrigation on US crop yields
The effects of climate extremes on global agricultural yields
Sensitivity of grain yields to historical climate variability in India
A review on the contribution of crop diversification to Sustainable Development Goal 1 “No poverty” in different world regions
Productivity and efficiency impact of climate change and agroecology on Bangladesh agriculture
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |