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Overestimated global dryland expansion with substantial increases in vegetation productivity under climate warming

Bibliographic Data

ID15545569
AuthorsZiwei Liu (0000-0002-4220-5958, Tsinghua University), Taihua Wang (0000-0002-1620-5495, Tsinghua University), Hanbo Yang (0000-0002-5925-0245, Tsinghua University, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume18
Issue5
Pages054024-054024
Publication date2023-04-24
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/accfb1
OpenAlexW4366815550
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited42

Drylands are serviced as an essential component of the earth’s ecosystem. The potential changes in dryland areas are of great importance to the environment, but various debates remain as to whether and to what extent drylands are expected to expand. Here we employ a physically-based potential evapotranspiration ( E P ) model accounting for vegetation response to climate change to quantify potential changes in dryland areas, on the basis of a commonly used indicator, aridity index (multiyear mean E P over precipitation). Results show that by the end of this century, drylands will expand slightly by ∼5%, while vegetation productivity will increase by ∼50%. Elevated CO 2 slows down the increase rate of E P that impedes the expansion of drylands, but greatly promotes vegetation growth with increases in both leaf assimilation and canopy foliage. These findings improve our understanding of the potential changes in dryland and their ecological impacts in a warmer climate

Arid · Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climatology · Ecosystem · Evapotranspiration · Geography · Global warming · Meteorology · Physical geography · Precipitation · Productivity · Vegetation (pathology · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Pasture and Agricultural Systems · Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics · Ecology · Geology

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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