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The connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Indian Summer Monsoon since the Industrial Revolution is intrinsic to the climate system

Bibliographic Data

ID15545575
AuthorsFeifei Luo (0000-0001-9320-7147, Chinese Academy of Sciences), Shuanglin Li (0009-0004-5421-3156, Chinese Academy of Sciences, corresponding author), Yongqi Gao (0000-0003-3474-3526, Chinese Academy of Sciences), Lea Svendsen (0000-0002-0181-3332, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research), Tore Furevik (0000-0002-1668-2785, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research), Noel Keenlyside (0000-0002-8708-6868, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research)
Year2018
Volume13
Issue9
Pages094020-094020
Publication date2018-08-31
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aade11
OpenAlexW2889306853
LanguageEN
References cited52

Observations show a significant positive correlation between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) over the past 100 years. Whether this connection is intrinsic to the climate system or caused by external forcing remains unclear in view of the substantial existence of anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols in observations. Two state-of-the-art climate models (GFDL-CM3 and HadGEM2-ES), the historical simulations (1850–2005) of which show positive correlations between the AMO and ISM, similar to observation, are used to address this question. A significant positive AMO-ISM correlation exists in the control simulations with fixed preindustrial forcing with HadGEM2-ES, but not with GFDL-CM3. An in-depth analysis illustrates that the positive correlation in the HadGEM2-ES control run is more reasonable, since it simulates a similar teleconnection of the AMO with the North Pacific to that in both observations and previous studies. In comparison, the GFDL-CM3 control run fails to simulate the teleconnection of the AMO with the North Pacific. The positive AMO-ISM correlation in the historical simulation in GFDL-CM3 may be attributable to the role of the external forcing, since it is so strong that the AMO signals are excited additionally in the North Pacific. This study suggests that the AMO-ISM connection is intrinsic to the climate system, and highlights the crucial role played by the North Pacific in bridging such a connection

Atlantic multidecadal oscillation · Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · El Niño Southern Oscillation · Forcing (mathematics · North Atlantic oscillation · Pacific decadal oscillation · Teleconnection · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Geology · Oceanography

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