Wildfire risk science facilitates adaptation of fire-prone social-ecological systems to the new fire reality
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15545682 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Christopher J Dunn (0000-0002-8996-656X, Oregon State University, corresponding author), Christopher D O’connor (0000-0001-7198-6274, Rocky Mountain Research (United States)), Christopher D O'Connor (0000-0002-7284-0688, Rocky Mountain Research (United States)), J Abrams (0000-0002-1937-4606, University of Georgia), Matthew P Thompson (0000-0002-2322-7756, Rocky Mountain Research Station), Dave Calkin (Rocky Mountain Research (United States)), Dave E Calkin, James D Johnston (0000-0003-0804-2398, Oregon State University), Rick Stratton (US Forest Service), Julie Gilbertson-Day |
| Year | 2019 |
| Volume | 15 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 025001-025001 |
| Publication date | 2019-12-20 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6498 |
| OpenAlex | W2995449325 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 27 |
| References cited | 89 |
Large and severe wildfires are an observable consequence of an increasingly arid American West. There is increasing consensus that human communities, land managers, and fire managers need to adapt and learn to live with wildfires. However, a myriad of human and ecological factors constrain adaptation, and existing science-based management strategies are not sufficient to address fire as both a problem and solution. To that end, we present a novel risk-science approach that aligns wildfire response decisions, mitigation opportunities, and land management objectives by consciously integrating social, ecological and fire management system needs. We use fire-prone landscapes of the US Pacific Northwest as our study area, and report on and describe how three complementary risk-based analytic tools—quantitative wildfire risk assessment, mapping of suppression difficulty, and atlases of potential control locations—can form the foundation for adaptive governance in fire management. Together, these tools integrate wildfire risk with fire management difficulties and opportunities, providing a more complete picture of the wildfire risk management challenge. Leveraging recent and ongoing experience integrating local experiential knowledge with these tools, we provide examples and discuss how these geospatial datasets create a risk-based planning structure that spans multiple spatial scales and uses. These uses include pre-planning strategic wildfire response, implementing safe wildfire response balancing risk with likelihood of success, and alignment of non-wildfire mitigation opportunities to support wildfire risk management more directly. We explicitly focus on multi-jurisdictional landscapes to demonstrate how these tools highlight the shared responsibility of wildfire risk mitigation. By integrating quantitative risk science, expert judgement and adaptive co-management, this process provides a much-needed pathway to transform fire-prone social ecological systems to be more responsive and adaptable to change and live with fire in an increasingly arid American West
Adaptation (eye · Adaptive Management · Business · Civil engineering · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Geography · Geospatial analysis · Land management · Land use · Remote sensing · Risk analysis (engineering · Risk management · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Computer Science · Engineering · Environmental Science · Fire effects on ecosystems · Landslides and related hazards
Governing wildfires
Economic impacts of mass timber production using small-diameter wood from fuel reduction and restoration treatments in eastern Oregon
Does conserving roadless wildland increase wildfire activity in western US national forests
Integrating social vulnerability with structure density and hazard to improve community wildfire risk assessments
Governance of wildland fire decision support tools
Strategic decision-making in wildfire risk management
Integrated wildfire risk assessment of natural and anthropogenic ecosystems based on simulation modeling and remotely sensed data fusion
GeoLCES
Revisiting wildfire resilience from a territorial perspective
Toward integrated fire management to promote ecosystem resilience
Planning for future fire
A global outlook on increasing wildfire risk
Navigating the evolving landscape of wildfire management
An ecological perspective on living with fire in ponderosa pine forests of Oregon and Washington
Wildfire narratives
Investigating the risky dilemma of regional flood planning
Towards a systemic approach to fire risk management
Interdisciplinary challenges for wildfire futures
Blazing the trail
A flexible framework for cost-effective fire management
Mapping Wildfire Jurisdictional Complexity Reveals Opportunities for Regional Co-Management
Return on investments in restoration and fuel treatments in frequent-fire forests of the American west
Adaptive Governance in Fire-Prone Landscapes
Choose your collaborators wisely
Stranded land constrains public land management and contributes to larger fires
A microeconometric analysis of wildfire suppression decisions in the Western United States
Building Forest Fires Resilience, the Incorporation of Local Knowledge into Disaster Mitigation Strategies
Learning to coexist with wildfire
Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk
Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests
Adapt to more wildfire in western North American forests as climate changes
How risk management can prevent future wildfire disasters in the wildland-urban interface
Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013
A working guide to boosted regression trees
A General Framework for Analyzing Sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems
Adaptive Governance of Social-Ecological Systems
Complexity of Coupled Human and Natural Systems
A social-ecological network approach for understanding wildfire risk governance
The Effect of Newspaper Coverage and Political Pressure on Wildfire Suppression Costs
The Structure of Effective Governance of Disaster Response Networks
Making Transboundary Risks Governable
Leverage points for sustainability transformation
Re-envisioning community-wildfire relations in the U.S. West as adaptive governance
U.S. wildfire governance as social-ecological problem
The West in Flames
Conflict and Collaboration in Wildfire Management
The US Fire Learning Network
Examining fire-prone forest landscapes as coupled human and natural systems
A decade of adaptive governance scholarship
Resilience, Adaptability and Transformability in Social-ecological Systems
Legitimacy, Adaptation, and Resilience in Ecosystem Management
| Unique citing works | 27 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 5,4 |
| Citation span | 2021 - 2026 (6) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 26 |