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Change points of global temperature

Bibliographic Data

ID15545909
AuthorsNiamh Cahill (0000-0003-3086-550X, University College Dublin, corresponding author), Stefan Rahmstorf (0000-0001-6786-7723, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research), Andrew Parnell (0000-0001-7956-7939, University College Dublin), Andrew C Parnell
Year2015
Volume10
Issue8
Pages084002-084002
Publication date2015-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/084002
OpenAlexW1709435319
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited13

We aim to address the question of whether or not there is a significant recent 'hiatus', 'pause' or 'slowdown' of global temperature rise. Using a statistical technique known as change point (CP) analysis we identify the changes in four global temperature records and estimate the rates of temperature rise before and after these changes occur. For each record the results indicate that three CPs are enough to accurately capture the variability in the data with no evidence of any detectable change in the global warming trend since∼1970. We conclude that the term 'hiatus' or 'pause' cannot be statistically justified

Climate change · Climatology · Economics · Global change · Global temperature · Global warming · Hiatus · Physics · Slowdown · Term (time · Climate variability and models · Ecosystem dynamics and resilience · Environmental Science · Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics · Geology

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Unique citing works7
Citations per year0,78
Citation span2017 - 2021 (5)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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