A simple scaling approach to produce climate scenarios of local precipitation extremes for the Netherlands
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15545992 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Geert Lenderink (0000-0002-1572-4867, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, corresponding author), Jisk Attema (0000-0002-0948-1176, Netherlands eScience Center) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 10 |
| Issue | 8 |
| Pages | 085001-085001 |
| Publication date | 2015-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/085001 |
| OpenAlex | W2167573463 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 9 |
| References cited | 48 |
Scenarios of future changes in small scale precipitation extremes for the Netherlands are presented. These scenarios are based on a new approach whereby changes in precipitation extremes are set proportional to the change in water vapor amount near the surface as measured by the 2m dew point temperature. This simple scaling framework allows the integration of information derived from: (i) observations, (ii) a new unprecedentedly large 16 member ensemble of simulations with the regional climate model RACMO2 driven by EC-Earth, and (iii) short term integrations with a non-hydrostatic model Harmonie. Scaling constants are based on subjective weighting (expert judgement) of the three different information sources taking also into account previously published work. In all scenarios local precipitation extremes increase with warming, yet with broad uncertainty ranges expressing incomplete knowledge of how convective clouds and the atmospheric mesoscale circulation will react to climate change
Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Geography · Mesoscale meteorology · Meteorology · Physics · Precipitation · Scale (ratio · Scaling · Weighting · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Mathematics · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Geology
The relationship of atmospheric air temperature and dew point temperature to extreme rainfall
Impact of atmospheric circulation on the rainfall-temperature relationship in Australia
Temporal connections between extreme precipitation and humid heat
Relationship of extreme precipitation, dry-bulb temperature, and dew point temperature across Australia
Focus on climate projections for adaptation strategies
Projections of rapidly rising surface temperatures over Africa under low mitigation
Decreases in relative humidity across Australia
Reassessing hourly precipitation–temperature scaling
Systematic increases in the thermodynamic response of hourly precipitation extremes in an idealized warming experiment with a convection-permitting climate model
The Changing Character of Precipitation
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
Uncertainty in climate change projections
Future changes to the intensity and frequency of short-duration extreme rainfall
Linking increases in hourly precipitation extremes to atmospheric temperature and moisture changes
Preparing local climate change scenarios for the Netherlands using resampling of climate model output
The European climate under a 2 °C global warming
Extreme precipitation response to climate perturbations in an atmospheric mesoscale model
Twenty first century climatic and hydrological changes over Upper Indus Basin of Himalayan region of Pakistan
| Unique citing works | 9 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,82 |
| Citation span | 2015 - 2024 (10) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 9 |