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Why has no new record-minimum Arctic sea-ice extent occurred since September 2012

Bibliographic Data

ID15547108
AuthorsJennifer A Francis (0000-0002-7358-9296, Woodwell Climate Research Center, corresponding author), Bingyi Wu (0000-0001-8434-0739, Fudan University)
Year2020
Volume15
Issue11
Pages114034-114034
Publication date2020-10-12
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/abc047
OpenAlexW3092828351
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited15

One of the clearest indicators of human-caused climate change is the rapid decline in Arctic sea ice. The summer minimum coverage is now approximately half of its extent only 40 yr ago. Four records in the minimum extent were broken since 2000, the most recent occurring in September 2012. No new records have been set since then, however, owing to an abrupt atmospheric shift during each August/early-September that brought low sea-level pressure, cloudiness, and unfavorable wind conditions for ice reduction. While random variability could be the cause, we identify a recently increased prevalence of a characteristic large-scale atmospheric pattern over the northern hemisphere. This pattern is associated not only with anomalously low pressure over the Arctic during summer, but also with frequent heatwaves over East Asia, Scandinavia, and northern North America, as well as the tendency for a split jet stream over the continents. This jet-stream configuration has been identified as favoring extreme summer weather events in northern mid-latitudes. We propose a mechanism linking these features with diminishing spring snow cover on northern-hemisphere continents that acts as a negative feedback on the loss of Arctic sea ice during summer

Antarctic sea ice · Arctic · Arctic geoengineering · Arctic ice pack · Arctic sea ice decline · Climate change · Climatology · Cryosphere · Geography · Jet (fluid · Jet stream · Meteorology · Northern Hemisphere · Sea ice · Snow · Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics · Climate change and permafrost · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Geology · Oceanography

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    Open Access•N Sandeep, Sandeep Narayanasetti et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2025

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    Open Access•Anjie Zhang, Daling Li Yi et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2024

  • Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid‐latitudes

    Open Access•Jennifer A Francis, Stephen J Vavrus•Geophysical Research Letters•2012

  • Updated analyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentieth century

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,75
Citation span2022 - 2025 (4)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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