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Water availability surpasses warmth in controlling global vegetation trends in recent decade

Revealed by satellite time series

Bibliographic Data

ID15547110
AuthorsAnzhi Zhang (0000-0002-1676-2240, Chinese Academy of Sciences, corresponding author), Gensuo Jia (0000-0001-5950-9555, Institute of Atmospheric Physics), Susan L Ustin (0000-0001-8551-0461, University of California, Davis)
Year2021
Volume16
Issue7
Pages074028-074028
Publication date2021-06-15
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ac0b68
OpenAlexW3170635608
LanguageEN
References cited57

A better understanding of the dominant climatic drivers that control vegetation trends across regions and biomes is essential for assessing ecosystem dynamics and land-climate interactions in a warming world. Temperature (TMP) has long been considered as dominant control in global vegetation trends, and growing evidence suggests that water availability plays an increasingly important role in determining trends in vegetation growth over many biomes. However, a detailed spatial-temporal evolution of the vegetation trends and the climatic drivers that effect vegetation trends are not well known. In this study, using a time-varying trend (extracted by the ensemble empirical mode decomposition) of climate and satellite-derived normalized difference vegetation index (as a proxy for vegetation productivity) from 1981 to 2015, we find that the trends in vegetation greening and terrestrial carbon uptake reversed, beginning in the early 2000s, largely driven by the recent drying trend. The relative importance of climatic controls on vegetation productivity trend is estimated using a principal component analysis procedure, and the results demonstrate a global shift in the dominant driver of vegetation trends from TMP to precipitation, and point to intensified water limitation to vegetation growth as warming continues. The findings provide empirical evidence of the spatial-temporal evolution of different climatic drivers behind trends in vegetation productivity

Biome · Climate change · Climatology · Ecosystem · Enhanced vegetation index · Geography · Greening · Meteorology · Normalized Difference Vegetation Index · Physical geography · Precipitation · Productivity · Proxy (statistics · Vegetation (pathology · Vegetation Index · Environmental Science · Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics · Remote Sensing in Agriculture · Species Distribution and Climate Change · Ecology · Geology

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