Changes of tropical cyclone activity in a warming world are sensitive to sea surface temperature environment

Dados Bibliográficos

ID15547232
AutoresBanglin Zhang (0000-0001-7836-8102, Lanzhou University, autor correspondente), Renhe Zhang (0000-0001-7750-8679, Fudan University, autor correspondente), R T Pinker (0000-0003-4249-4427, University of Maryland, College Park), Yerong Feng, Changchun Nie (Hainan Meteorological Service), Yuping Guan (0000-0003-2744-136X, Chinese Academy of Sciences)
Ano2019
Volume14
Fascículo12
Páginas124052-124052
Data de publicação2019-11-22
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
EditoraIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab5ada
OpenAlexW2990093055
IdiomaEN
Referências citadas33

While there is considerable agreement in the scientific community about the intensification of tropical cyclones (TCs) in a warming world, that consensus does not exist for TC frequency. In order to shed new light on this uncertainty, we classified the global oceans into three pools based on SST percentiles: the (a) warm (≥90th percentiles), (a) moderate (65th–90th percentiles) and (c) cool (<65th percentiles) pools, and found that TC frequency increases significantly over the cool SST pool but decreases in the warm and moderate SST pools. The differences in TC frequency change is large among the three pools, contrasting to the small trend differences of TC intensity

Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climatology · Global change · Global warming · Percentile · Sea surface temperature · Tropical cyclone · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Mathematics · Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Geology · Oceanography