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The global burden of transportation tailpipe emissions on air pollution-related mortality in 2010 and 2015

Bibliographic Data

ID15547771
AuthorsSusan C Anenberg (0000-0002-9668-603X, Milken Institute, corresponding author), Joshua Miller (0009-0005-7750-5431, International Council of Ophthalmology), Daven K Henze (0000-0001-6431-4963, University of Colorado Boulder), Ray Minjares (0000-0003-2037-6198, International Council of Ophthalmology), Ploy Achakulwisut (0000-0001-8724-5411, Milken Institute), Pattanun Achakulwisut
Year2019
Volume14
Issue9
Pages094012-094012
Publication date2019-07-26
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ab35fc
OpenAlexW2964852981
LanguageEN
Citations received17
References cited40

Emissions from the transportation sector are a major contributor to ambient air pollution, the leading environmental health risk factor globally. This study aims to quantify the contribution of tailpipe emissions from global transportation, disaggregated by four sub-sectors, to the global disease burden associated with ambient fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) and ground-level ozone in 2010 and 2015. We use the GEOS-Chem global chemical transport model to simulate transportation-attributable PM 2.5 and ozone concentrations, combined with epidemiological health impact assessment methods consistent with the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study to estimate the associated burden of disease. We estimate that emissions from the transportation sector were associated with 361 000 (95% CI, 258 000–462 000) PM 2.5 and ozone deaths in 2010 and 385 000 (95% CI, 274 000–493 000) in 2015. These results translate into 11.7% of total global ambient PM 2.5 and ozone deaths in 2010 and 11.4% in 2015. Together, PM 2.5 and ozone concentrations from transportation tailpipe emissions resulted in an estimated 7.8 million years of life lost and approximately $1 trillion (2015 US$) in health damages globally in 2015. Among transportation sub-sectors, on-road diesels contributed most to the health burden from transportation tailpipe emissions in nearly all trade blocs, for both PM 2.5 and ozone, though other sub-sectors also contributed substantially (particularly on-road non-diesel vehicles for ozone mortality, and shipping and non-road mobile sources for PM 2.5 mortality). These results indicate that despite recent adoption of more stringent vehicle emission regulations in many countries, the transportation sector remains a major contributor to the air pollution disease burden globally. Future work may explore the degree to which currently adopted policies, as well as expected growth in the transportation sector in India, Africa, and other rapidly developing locations, will influence future transportation-attributable public health burdens

Air pollutants · Air pollution · Air quality index · Burden of disease · Criteria air contaminants · Disease burden · Economics · Environmental health · Environmental protection · Geography · Ground Level Ozone · Meteorology · Natural resource economics · Ozone · Particulates · Population · Air Quality and Health Impacts · Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols · Chemistry · Environmental Science · Medicine · Vehicle emissions and performance · Pollution

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Unique citing works17
Citations per year3,4
Citation span2021 - 2025 (5)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 16
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