Projected changes in wind power potential over China and India in high resolution climate models
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15548231 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Peter Sherman (0000-0002-2140-0420, Harvard University, corresponding author), Shaojie Song (0000-0001-6395-7422, Harvard University), Xinyu Chen (0009-0008-6347-2490, Huazhong University of Science and Technology), M B McElroy (Planetary Science Institute), Michael McElroy |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 16 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 034057-034057 |
| Publication date | 2021-02-11 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/abe57c |
| OpenAlex | W3126367333 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
| References cited | 20 |
As more countries commit to emissions reductions by midcentury to curb anthropogenic climate change, decarbonization of the electricity sector becomes a first-order task in reaching this goal. Renewables, particularly wind and solar power, will be predominant components of this transition. How availability of the wind and solar resource will change in the future in response to regional climate changes is an important and underdiscussed topic of the decarbonization process. Here, we study changes in potential for wind power in China and India, evaluating prospectively until the year 2060. To do this, we study a downscaled, high-resolution multimodel ensemble of CMIP5 models under high and low emissions scenarios. While there is some intermodel variability, we find that spatial changes are generally consistent across models, with decreases of up to 965 (a 1% change) and 186 TWh (a 2% change) in annual electricity generation potential for China and India, respectively. Compensating for the declining resource are weakened seasonal and diurnal variabilities, allowing for easier large-scale wind power integration. We conclude that while the ensemble indicates available wind resource over China and India will decline slightly in the future, there remains enormous potential for significant wind power expansion, which must play a major role in carbon neutral aspirations
China · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Commit · Economics · Electricity · Geography · Greenhouse gas · Meteorology · Natural resource economics · Renewable energy · Resource (disambiguation · Wind power · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Climate variability and models · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Integrated Energy Systems Optimization · Ecology
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Simulation modeling and analysis of carbon emission reduction potential of multi-energy generation
Assessing the technical and economic potential of wind and solar energy in China—A provincial-scale analysis
| Unique citing works | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,6 |
| Citation span | 2021 - 2023 (3) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |