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Periodic decadal swings in dry/wet conditions over Central Asia

Bibliographic Data

ID15548246
AuthorsYusen Liu (Beijing Normal University), Cheng Sun (0000-0002-2744-0896, Beijing Normal University, corresponding author), Zengchao Hao (0000-0001-7666-7053, Beijing Normal University), Bian He (0000-0002-7290-2201, Chinese Academy of Sciences, corresponding author)
Year2022
Volume17
Issue5
Pages054050-054050
Publication date2022-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/ac6c3b
OpenAlexW4225399885
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited56

Periodic variability in the hydro-climatic system has important implications not only for climate prediction but also for planning and managing water resources. Here we identify periodic decadal variability of dry/wet conditions in Central Asia (CA) since the mid-20th century, which are tied to the Pacific quasi-decadal oscillation (PQDO) with a period of 8–16 years ( r = 0.87). The periodically varying forcing in the Pacific modulates zonal winds and moisture transport and profoundly affects the precipitation on the decadal time scale. The PQDO-related equatorial central Pacific warming significantly heats the overlying troposphere, increasing the meridional temperature/geopotential gradients in the subtropics. As a result, the strengthened westerly jet in CA transports more water vapor from the North Atlantic and increases local precipitation. The plateau to the east further amplifies the increased precipitation in eastern CA through orographic influence on the convection and large-scale circulation. The atmospheric model forced by the PQDO signal reproduces an overall consistent mechanism with the observation, indicating a robust synchronization of the Central Asian hydro-climatic system to the PQDO. The newly discovered oscillatory feature in this study may advance the predictability of Central Asian precipitation on the decadal time scale, which promotes the mitigation and prevention of natural disasters like droughts and wildfires

Atmospheric Circulation · Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · El Niño Southern Oscillation · Forcing (mathematics · Geography · Meteorology · Pacific decadal oscillation · Plateau (mathematics · Precipitation · Predictability · Subtropical ridge · Subtropics · Troposphere · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Geology · Oceanography

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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