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Diverse policy implications for future ozone and surface UV in a changing climate

Bibliographic Data

ID15548261
AuthorsAmy H Butler (0000-0002-3632-0925, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, corresponding author), J S Daniel (0000-0001-9903-1007, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory), R W Portmann (0000-0002-0279-6087, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration), A R Ravishankara (0000-0001-9059-8437, Colorado State University), Paul J Young (0000-0002-5608-8887, Lancaster University), D W Fahey (0000-0003-1720-0634, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration), Karen H Rosenlof (0000-0002-0903-8270, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)
Year2016
Volume11
Issue6
Pages064017-064017
Publication date2016-06-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064017
OpenAlexW2412010961
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited34

Due to the success of the Montreal Protocol in limiting emissions of ozone-depleting substances, concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, and methane will control the evolution of total column and stratospheric ozone by the latter half of the 21st century. As the world proceeds down the path of reducing climate forcing set forth by the 2015 Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP 21), a broad range of ozone changes are possible depending on future policies enacted. While decreases in tropical stratospheric ozone will likely persist regardless of the future emissions scenario, extratropical ozone could either remain weakly depleted or even increase well above historical levels, with diverse implication for ultraviolet (UV) radiation. The ozone layer's dependence on future emissions of these gases creates a complex policy decision space for protecting humans and ecosystems, which includes unexpected options such as accepting nitrous oxide emissions in order to maintain historical column ozone and surface UV levels

Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climatology · Geography · Greenhouse gas · Meteorology · Montreal Protocol · Nitrous oxide · Ozone · Ozone Depletion · Ozone layer · Radiative forcing · Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols · Atmospheric Ozone and Climate · Chemistry · Climate Change and Geoengineering · Environmental Science · Ecology

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    Open Access•Malte Meinshausen, Steven J Smith et al.•Climatic Change•2011

  • Nitrous Oxide (N 2 O)

    Open Access•A R Ravishankara, J S Daniel et al.•Science•2009

  • Impact of future nitrous oxide and carbon dioxide emissions on the stratospheric ozone layer

    Open Access•Richard S Stolarski, A R Douglass et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2015

Citations per year0.63
Citation span2018 - 2023 (6)
Highly citedNo

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