Effects of demand-side restrictions on high-deforestation palm oil in Europe on deforestation and emissions in Indonesia
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15548574 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jonah Busch (0000-0003-0918-4179, Conservation International, corresponding author), Oyut Amarjargal (Earth Island Institute), Farzad Taheripour (0000-0002-2652-3403, Purdue University West Lafayette), Kemen Austin (0000-0002-7690-8774, RTI International), Rizki N Siregar (0000-0002-4949-2785, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz), Kellee Koenig (0000-0002-2505-860X, Conservation International), Thomas W Hertel (0000-0002-7179-7630, Purdue University West Lafayette) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 014035-014035 |
| Publication date | 2021-12-15 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ac435e |
| OpenAlex | W4200372668 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 9 |
| References cited | 46 |
Demand-side restrictions on high-deforestation commodities are expanding as a climate policy, but their impact on reducing tropical deforestation and emissions has yet to be quantified. Here we model the effects of demand-side restrictions on high-deforestation palm oil in Europe on deforestation and emissions in Indonesia. We do so by integrating a model of global trade with a spatially explicit model of land-use change in Indonesia. We estimate a European ban on high-deforestation palm oil from 2000 to 2015 would have led to a 8.9% global price premium on low-deforestation palm oil, resulting in 21 374 ha yr −1 (1.60%) less deforestation and 21.1 million tCO 2 yr −1 (1.91%) less emissions from deforestation in Indonesia relative to what occurred. A hypothetical Indonesia-wide carbon price would have achieved equivalent emission reductions at $0.81/tCO 2 . Impacts of a ban are small because: 52% of Europe’s imports of high-deforestation palm oil would have shifted to non-participating countries; the price elasticity of supply of high-deforestation oil palm cropland is small (0.13); and conversion to oil palm was responsible for only 32% of deforestation in Indonesia. If demand-side restrictions succeed in substantially reducing deforestation, it is likely to be through non-price pathways
Agricultural economics · Agroforestry · Business · Deforestation (computer science · Economics · Land use · Land use, land-use change and forestry · Natural resource economics · Palm oil · Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management · Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Environmental Science · Oil Palm Production and Sustainability · Ecology
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| Citations per year | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2023 - 2025 (3) |
| Highly cited | No |