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The impact of land ownership, firefighting, and reserve status on fire probability in California

Bibliographic Data

ID15549280
AuthorsCarlin Frances Starrs (0000-0003-2009-4203, University of California, Berkeley, corresponding author), Van Butsic (0000-0002-6236-7313, University of California, Berkeley), Connor Stephens (0000-0002-9134-0283, University of California, Berkeley), William Stewart (0000-0002-4359-3470, University of California, Berkeley)
Year2018
Volume13
Issue3
Pages034025-034025
Publication date2018-01-26
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aaaad1
OpenAlexW2787929249
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited54

The extent of wildfires in the western United States is increasing, but how land ownership, firefighting, and reserve status influence fire probability is unclear. California serves as a unique natural experiment to estimate the impact of these factors, as ownership is split equally between federal and non-federal landowners; there is a relatively large proportion of reserved lands where extractive uses are prohibited and fire suppression is limited; and land ownership and firefighting responsibility are purposefully not always aligned. Panel Poisson regression techniques and pre-regression matching were used to model changes in annual fire probability from 1950â 2015 on reserve and non-reserve lands on federal and non-federal ownerships across four vegetation types: forests, rangelands, shrublands, and forests without commercial species. Fire probability was found to have increased over time across all 32 categories. A marginal effects analysis showed that federal ownership and firefighting was associated with increased fire probability, and that the difference in fire probability on federal versus non-federal lands is increasing over time. Ownership, firefighting, and reserve status, played roughly equal roles in determining fire probability, and were found to have much greater influence than average maximum temperature (°C) during summer months (June, July, August), average annual precipitation (cm), and average annual topsoil moisture content by volume, demonstrating the critical role these factors play in western fire regimes and the importance of including them in future analysis focused on understanding and predicting wildfire in the Western United States

Agroforestry · Ecosystem · Evergreen · Fire regime · Firefighting · Geography · Meteorology · Precipitation · Rangeland · Shrubland · Vegetation (pathology · Wildfire suppression · Environmental Science · Fire effects on ecosystems · Landslides and related hazards · Rangeland and Wildlife Management · Ecology · Forestry

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Unique citing works6
Citations per year1,2
Citation span2021 - 2026 (6)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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