The co-incidence of storm surges and extreme discharges within the Rhine–Meuse Delta
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15549815 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Wouter Jan Klerk (0000-0002-6777-2705, Deltares, corresponding author), Hessel Winsemius (0000-0001-5471-172X, Deltares), H C Winsemius, Willem van Verseveld (0000-0003-3311-738X, Deltares), W J van Verseveld, A Bakker (0000-0002-3370-7710, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute), A M R Bakker, Ferdinand Diermanse (0000-0002-2599-2902, Deltares), F L M Diermanse |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 10 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 035005-035005 |
| Publication date | 2015-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Publisher | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/035005 |
| OpenAlex | W2167091308 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 7 |
| References cited | 22 |
The Netherlands is a low-lying coastal area and therefore threatened by both extreme river discharges from the Meuse and Rhine rivers and storm surges along the North Sea coastline. To date, in most flood risk analyses these two hazardous phenomena are considered independent. However, if there were a dependence between high sea water levels and extreme discharges this might result in higher design water levels, which might consequently have implications for flood protection policy in the Netherlands. In this study we explore the relation between high sea water levels at Hoek van Holland and high river discharges at Lobith. Different from previous studies, we use physical models forced by the same atmospheric forcing leading to concomitant and consistent time series of storm surge conditions and river discharge. These time series were generated for present day conditions as well as future climate projections and analysed for dependence within the upper tails of their distribution. In this study, dependence between the discharge at Lobith and storm surge at Hoek van Holland was found, and the dependence was highest for a lag of six days between the two processes. As no significant dependence of the threats was found for cases without time lag, there is no need for considering dependence in flood protection and policy making. Although future climate change is expected to lead to more extreme conditions in river discharges, we cannot conclude from this study that it will change the magnitude of the dependence for extreme conditions
Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climatology · Coastal flood · Discharge · Drainage basin · Extreme value theory · Flood myth · Geography · Geomorphology · Hydrology (agriculture · Sea level · Sea level rise · Storm · Storm surge · Surge · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Geology · Oceanography
A review of quantification methodologies for multi-hazard interrelationships
The effect of surge on riverine flood hazard and impact in deltas globally
Dependence between high sea-level and high river discharge increases flood hazard in global deltas and estuaries
A flood risk assessment framework for interdependent infrastructure systems in coastal environments
Analysis of a compounding surge and precipitation event in the Netherlands
Impact of Enso on dependence between extreme rainfall and storm surge
Modeling complex flow dynamics of fluvial floods exacerbated by sea level rise in the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna Delta
| Unique citing works | 7 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0.64 |
| Citation span | 2015 - 2021 (7) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 7 |