Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Towards pan-European drought risk maps

Quantifying the link between drought indices and reported drought impacts

Bibliographic Data

ID15550478
AuthorsVeit Blauhut (0000-0002-0069-1687, University of Freiburg, corresponding author), Lukas Gudmundsson (0000-0003-3539-8621, ETH Zurich), Kerstin Stahl (0000-0002-2159-9441, University of Freiburg)
Year2015
Volume10
Issue1
Pages014008-014008
Publication date2015-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/10/1/014008
OpenAlexW2109520203
LanguageEN
Citations received18
References cited27

Drought in Europe is a hazard with a wide range of transboundary, environmental and socio-economic impacts on various sectors including agriculture, energy production, public water supply and water quality. Despite the apparent importance of this natural hazard, observed pan-European drought impacts have not yet been quantitatively related to the most important climatological drivers to map drought risk on a continental scale. This contribution approaches the issue by quantitatively assessing the likelihood of drought impact occurrence as a function of the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index for four European macro regions using logistic regression. The resulting models allow mapping the sector-specific likelihood of drought impact occurrence for specific index levels. For the most severe drought conditions the maps suggest the highest risk of impact occurrence for 'Water Quality' in Maritime Europe, followed by 'Agriculture & Livestock Farming' in Western Mediterranean Europe and 'Energy & Industry' in Maritime Europe. Merely impacts on 'Public Water Supply' result in overall lower risk estimates. The work suggests that modeling and mapping for North- and Southeastern Europe requires further enhancement to the impact database in these regions. Such maps may become an essential component of drought risk management to foster resilience for this hazard at large scale

Agriculture · Climate change · Environmental protection · Environmental resource management · Evapotranspiration · Geography · Hazard · Mediterranean climate · Natural hazard · Water resource management · Climate change impacts on agriculture · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Hydrology and Drought Analysis · Ecology

  • Near-real-time drought impact assessment

    Open Access•Mariana Madruga de Brito, Christian Kuhlicke et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2020

  • Assessment of drought damages and their uncertainties in Europe

    Open Access•Gustavo Naumann, Jonathan Spinoni et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2015

  • Summer drought predictability over Europe

    Open Access•Marco Turco, Andrej Ceglar et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2017

  • Constraining decadal variability regionally improves near-term projections of hot, cold and dry extremes

    Open Access•Paolo De Luca, Carlos Delgado‐Torres et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2023

  • Europe under multi-year droughts

    Open Access•Vojtěch Moravec, Yannis Markonis et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2021

  • Significant relationships between drought indicators and impacts for the 2018–2019 drought in Germany

    Open Access•Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Gabriele Messori et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2023

  • Whose Ground Truth Is It? Harvesting Lessons from Missouri’s 2018 Bumper Crop of Drought Observations

    Open Access•Kelly Helm Smith, Mark E Burbach et al.•Weather, Climate, and Society•2021

  • Drought-impacted communities in social-ecological systems

    Open Access•Sarra Kchouk, Germano Ribeiro Neto et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2023

  • Drought vulnerability range assessment

    Open Access•Davood Moshir Panahi, Veit Blauhut et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2023

  • Drought risk assessment

    Open Access•Hossein Hedayat, Hesam Seyed Kaboli•International Journal of Disaster…•2024

  • Complexities of drought adaptive behaviour

    Open Access•Marthe L K Wens, Moses Mwangi et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2021

  • A methodology for assessing multiple hazards applied to Sweden

    Open Access•Johan Björck, Margaret McNamee et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2024

  • Drought risk assessment of spring maize based on Apsim crop model in Liaoning province, China

    Open Access•Yaxu Wang, Juan Lv et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2020

  • Operationalizing vulnerability and resilience interdependencies in drought risk management

    Open Access•Abdullah Konak, Nazmiye Balta‐Ozkan et al.•Sustainability Science•2026

  • Demands on land

    Open Access•Rogier P O Schulte, Lilian O’Sullivan et al.•Environmental Science & Policy•2019

  • Tracking shifts in European drought hotspots

    Open Access•Martina Merlo, Marta Giuliani et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2026

  • Drought impact prediction across time and space

    Open Access•Ruth Stephan, Kerstin Stahl et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2023

  • Anthropogenic climate change affects meteorological drought risk in Europe

    Open Access•Lukas Gudmundsson, Sonia I Seneviratne•Environmental Research Letters•2016

  • Mixed effects models and extensions in ecology with R

    Open Access•Alain F Zuur, Alain Zuur et al.•Mixed Effects Models and…•2009

  • Regression Modeling Strategies

    Open Access•Frank E Harrell, Frank E Jr Harrell•Regression Modeling Strategies•2001

  • Modern Applied Statistics with S

    Open Access•W N Venables, Brian D Ripley•Modern Applied Statistics with S…•2002

  • Little change in global drought over the past 60 years

    Open Access•Justin Sheffield, E F Wood et al.•Nature•2012

  • Understanding

    Donald A Wilhite, Michael H Glantz•Water International•1985

  • A Multiscalar Drought Index Sensitive to Global Warming

    Sergio M Vicente-Serrano, Sergio M Vicente‐Serrano et al.•Journal of Climate•2010

  • A European daily high‐resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950–2006

    Open Access•M R Haylock, Nynke Hofstra et al.•Journal of Geophysical Research:…•2008

  • Characterizing changes in drought risk for the United States from climate change

    Open Access•Kenneth Strzepek, Gary Yohe et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2010

  • Predicting above normal wildfire activity in southern Europe as a function of meteorological drought

    Open Access•Lukas Gudmundsson, Francisco Rego et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2014

  • Temporal-spatial characteristics of severe drought events and their impact on agriculture on a global scale

    Open Access•Qianfeng Wang, Jianjun Wu et al.•Quaternary International•2014

Unique citing works18
Citations per year1.64
Citation span2015 - 2026 (12)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 18

Tools

Open DOISci-HubOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae