Refugees welcome, but not in my backyard? The impact of immigration on right-wing voting
Evidence from Germany
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 18977494 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Johannes Jasny (0000-0003-3014-522X, University of Hohenheim, corresponding author), Tilman Becker (0000-0002-2454-1712, University of Hohenheim) |
| Year | 2020 |
| Volume | 11 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Publication date | 2020-08-03 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | IZA Journal of Development and Migration (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2520-1786 • E-ISSN: 2520-1786 |
| Publisher | Walter de Gruyter GmbH (PUBLISHER • DE) |
| DOI | 10.2478/izajodm-2020-0013 |
| OpenAlex | W3062815077 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 25 |
This article studies whether immigration in voter’s neighborhoods is a driving factor of the rise of Germany’s major right-wing party Alternative fuer Deutschland (AFD) and the decline of Angela Merkel’s center ruling party the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). We use the 2015 refugee crisis as a natural experiment to study the short-run impact of refugee presence on the voting behavior in German municipalities. This is the first study to use a spatial econometric framework combining small-scale immigration data, election data, and a set of socioeconomic factors. Our main finding states that the local immigration boosted AFD votes but did not affect CDU votes directly. Instead, in regions that perceived immigration indirectly, that is in neighboring municipalities, the CDU gained fewer votes
Democracy · Demographic economics · Development economics · Economics · Geography · German · Immigration · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Refugee · Right wing · Socioeconomic status · Sociology · Turnout · Voting · Demography · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Populism, Right-Wing Movements
Introduction to Spatial Econometrics
Spatial Econometrics
Immigration and Voting for the Far Right
Estimation Methods for Models of Spatial Interaction
Immigration and election outcomes — Evidence from city districts in Hamburg
A Generalized Spatial Two-Stage Least Squares Procedure for Estimating a Spatial Autoregressive Model with Autoregressive Disturbances
An Introduction to Spatial Econometrics
Applied Spatial Econometrics
Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior
Going to extremes
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The Contact Hypothesis and Attitudes Toward L atinos in the U nited S tates
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Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964
Economic Inequality and Democratic Support
The Primacy of Race in the Geography of Income‐Based Voting
Beyond the Optimal Contact Strategy
Income inequality and voting for radical right-wing parties
| Citations per year | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2024 - 2026 (3) |
| Highly cited | No |