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The Heterogeneous Effects of Government Spending

It’s All About Taxes

Bibliographic Data

ID19037326
AuthorsAxelle Ferrière (0000-0001-9060-5377, Paris School of Economics-CNRS, corresponding author), Gastón Navarro (Federal Reserve Board of Governors)
Year2024
Volume92
Issue2
Pages1061-1125
Publication date2024-04-02
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Review of Economic Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0034-6527 • E-ISSN: 1467-937X
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1093/restud/rdae032
OpenAlexW3123277949
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited72

Historically, large changes in U.S. government spending induced fiscal efforts that were not all alike, with some using more progressive taxes than others. We develop a heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model to analyse how the distribution of taxes across households shapes spending multipliers. The model yields empirically realistic distributions in marginal propensities to consume and labour elasticities, which result in lower responsiveness to tax changes for higher-income earners. In turn, multipliers are larger when spending is financed with higher tax progressivity—that is, when the tax burden falls more heavily on higher-income earners. This result is historically material. We estimate that, on average, tax rates increased more for top-income than for bottom-income earners after a spending shock. Thus, the typical U.S. spending shock was financed with higher tax progressivity. We further exploit the historical variation in the financing of spending to estimate progressivity-dependent multipliers, which we find consistent with the model

Economics · Fiscal policy · Government spending · Labour economics · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Monetary policy · New Keynesian economics · Welfare · Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works5
Citations per year2.5
Citation span2024 - 2025 (2)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 5

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