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Intra-regional trade and export diversification in small states

Panel evidence from Caricom

Bibliographic Data

ID19216285
AuthorsElton Bollers (0000-0003-2189-2506, University of Guyana, corresponding author)
Year2026
Pages1-25
Publication date2026-05-18
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Round Table (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0035-8533 • E-ISSN: 1465-4008
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00358533.2026.2669265
OpenAlexW7161543822
LanguageEN
References cited56

This study examines whether intra-regional trade promotes export diversification among CARICOM small states. Using panel data for 2005–2023, export concentration is measured through the Herfindahl–Hirschman, Theil, and Gini indices and estimated using fixed-effects panel models, with system GMM employed as a robustness check. The results reveal a statistically significant positive relationship between intra-regional trade and export concentration, indicating that deeper regional integration reinforces specialisation rather than diversification. These findings challenge conventional expectations of integration-led diversification and highlight structural constraints facing small economies. The results suggest that regional trade must be complemented by targeted industrial and capability-building policies to broaden export bases and strengthen economic resilience

Diversification (marketing strategy) · Export performance · Panel data · Terms of trade · Global trade and economics · Island Studies and Pacific Affairs · Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis

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