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Luck and Predictability in the Life Course

Bibliographic Data

ID19219817
AuthorsA Van De Rijt (0000-0002-4208-3452, 1Department of Political and Social Sciences, European University Institute, Fiesole, Italy; email: [email protected]), Fabrizio Bernardi (0000-0002-5544-5184, 2Department of Sociology II, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia, Madrid, Spain), William Foley (0000-0002-5179-1020, 3Department of Social Sciences, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Getafe, Spain), Lucas Sage (0000-0001-9310-5423, Université Toulouse Capitole)
Year2026
Publication date2026-04-24
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAnnual Review of Sociology (BOOK_SERIES)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0360-0572 • E-ISSN: 1545-2115
PublisherAnnual Reviews (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1146/annurev-soc-031324-115112
OpenAlexW7155495138
LanguageEN
Citations received1

There is an emerging recognition among sociological theorists that luck may play a substantial role in life course achievement. There is also a nascent empirical literature that finds life outcomes to be unpredictable and unexpected life events to be a likely cause. A third literature of causal event studies provides thousands of point estimates of the life course consequences of random events. This review brings these literatures together under a unified framework

Empirical research · Life course approach · Luck · Predictability · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Evolutionary Psychology and Human Behavior · Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis

  • The nonlinear nature of labor market sorting

    Open Access•Lucas Sage•Social Forces•2026

Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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