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Latently Mediating

A Bayesian Take on Causal Mediation Analysis with Structured Survey Data

Bibliographic Data

ID19291784
AuthorsAlessandro Varacca (0000-0003-4362-0325, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume60
Issue2
Pages305-327
Publication date2025-03-04
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueMultivariate Behavioral Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0027-3171 • E-ISSN: 1532-7906
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00273171.2024.2424514
PMID39552281
OpenAlexW4404473994
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited73

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian causal mediation approach to the analysis of experimental data when both the outcome and the mediator are measured through structured questionnaires based on Likert-scaled inquiries. Our estimation strategy builds upon the error-in-variables literature and, specifically, it leverages Item Response Theory to explicitly model the observed surrogate mediator and outcome measures. We employ their elicited latent counterparts in a simple g-computation algorithm, where we exploit the fundamental identifying assumptions of causal mediation analysis to impute all the relevant counterfactuals and estimate the causal parameters of interest. We finally devise a sensitivity analysis procedure to test the robustness of the proposed methods to the restrictive requirement of mediator's conditional ignorability. We demonstrate the functioning of our proposed methodology through an empirical application using survey data from an online experiment on food purchasing intentions and the effect of different labeling regimes

Bayesian probability · Causal inference · Causal model · Counterfactual conditional · Counterfactual thinking · Data mining · Econometrics · Machine learning · Mediation · Missing data · Robustness (evolution) · Statistics · Advanced Causal Inference Techniques · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Economic and Environmental Valuation · Mathematics · Psychology · Social Psychology · Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

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Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Highly citedNo

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