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Stochastic Permanent Breaks

Bibliographic Data

ID19314798
AuthorsRobert F Engle (0009-0009-9491-1510, University of California San Diego), Aaron Smith (0000-0001-5768-6304, University of California San Diego), Aaron D Smith
Year1999
Volume81
Issue4
Pages553-574
Publication date1999-11-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Review of Economics and Statistics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0034-6535 • E-ISSN: 1530-9142
PublisherMIT Press - Journals (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1162/003465399558382
OpenAlexW2016859137
LanguageEN
Citations received10
References cited24

This paper bridges the gap between processes where shocks are permanent and those with transitory shocks by formulating a process in which the long-run impact of each innovation is time-varying and stochastic. In the stochastic permanent breaks (STOPBREAK) process, frequent transitory shocks are supplemented by occasional permanent shifts. Consistency and asymptotic normality of quasi-maximum-likelihood estimates is established, and locally best hypothesis tests of the null of a random walk are developed. The model is applied to relative prices of pairs of stocks and significant test statistics result

Asymptotic distribution · Consistency (knowledge bases) · Econometrics · Economics · Estimator · Normality · Null (SQL) · Null hypothesis · Random walk · Statistical hypothesis testing · Statistics · Stochastic process · Capital Investment and Risk Analysis · Computer Science · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Mathematics · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Citations per year0.45
Citation span2004 - 2019 (16)
Highly citedNo

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