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Structural Estimates of the U.S. Sacrifice Ratio

Bibliographic Data

ID19419014
AuthorsStephen G Cecchetti (Federal Reserve), Robert W Rich (0000-0002-2482-072X, Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Year2001
Volume19
Issue4
Pages416-427
Publication date2001-10-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Business and Economic Statistics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0735-0015 • E-ISSN: 1537-2707
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1198/07350010152596664
OpenAlexW3121450656
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited10

This article investigates the statistical properties of the U.S. sacrifice ratio--the cumulative output loss arising from a permanent reduction in inflation. We derive estimates of the sacrifice ratio from three structural vector autoregression models and then conduct a series of simulation exercises to analyze their sampling distribution. We obtain point estimates of the sacrifice ratio that are consistent with results reported in earlier studies. However, the estimates are very imprecise, which we suggest reflects the poor quality of instruments used in estimation. We conclude that the estimates provide a very unreliable guide for assessing the output cost of disinflation policy

Confidence interval · Disinflation · Econometrics · Economics · Geography · Inflation rate · Keynesian economics · Monetary policy · Monte Carlo method · Physics · Point estimation · Sacrifice · Statistics · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Mathematics · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Citations per year0.2
Citation span2011 - 2021 (11)
Highly citedNo

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