Multi‐scenario simulation on reducing CO 2 emissions from China's major manufacturing industries targeting 2060

Bibliographic Data

ID19468504
AuthorsSheng Zhou (0000-0001-5902-5868, Tsinghua University‐Zhang Jiagang Joint Institute for Hydrogen Energy and Lithium‐Ion Battery Technology Tsinghua University Beijing China), Alun Gu (0000-0002-6862-5280, Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy Tsinghua University Beijing China), Qing Tong (0000-0002-2251-0736, Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy Tsinghua University Beijing China, corresponding author), Yuefeng Guo (Suzhou Institute of Beihang University Suzhou China), Xinyang Wei (0000-0002-0137-9927, School of Business Macau University of Science and Technology Macau China, corresponding author)
Year2022
Volume26
Issue3
Pages850-861
Publication date2022-06-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Industrial Ecology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1088-1980 • E-ISSN: 1530-9290
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/jiec.13233
OpenAlexW4200354410
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited23

CO 2 emissions from industrial processes are the main components of global greenhouse gas emissions. Based on analyzing the industrial activity level, technological progress, raw material substitution, and CO 2 recycling ratio from the cement, aluminum, ammonia, steel, lime, and ferroalloy industries, this paper considers three scenarios, namely, national determined contribution (NDC), carbon mitigation scenario (CMS), and deep mitigation scenario (DMS), and systematically explores the CO 2 emissions from future industrial processes as well as relevant cumulative emissions, emission sources, mitigation potentials, and mitigation sources in China. The results demonstrate that CO 2 emissions of the six main industrial processes can be continuously and significantly reduced in China. In the scenarios, compared with the 2020 level (1448 million metric tons of CO 2 ), the CO 2 emissions can be reduced by 71%, 82%, and 94%, respectively, in 2060, mainly owing to the reduction of the activity level, the adjustment of the product structure and the application of carbon capture and storage (CCS) under the DMS scenario. This paper provides several major policy implications to reduce the CO 2 emissions through adjusting the industrial structure and current lifestyles, improving the durability of industrial products and the management and technical levels, increasing the substitution ratio of low‐carbon raw materials in industrial production, supporting innovative low‐carbon technologies, the establishment and operation of the carbon market and carbon pricing mechanism, and further promoting the current “leader” system of energy‐intensive industries

Business · Carbon fibers · Climate change · Economics · Environmental economics · Ferroalloy · Greenhouse gas · Industrial ecology · Natural resource economics · Raw material · Scenario analysis · Sustainability · Tonne · Waste management · Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies · Chemistry · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Computer Science · Engineering · Environmental Impact and Sustainability · Environmental Science · Environmental Engineering

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