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Anticipatory governance of a maritime mission using a real-time mission-oriented transition assessment

Bibliographic Data

ID19486451
AuthorsJurrit Bergsma (0000-0002-1453-3516, Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research, corresponding author), Martijn Wiarda (0000-0002-3059-0182, Eindhoven University of Technology), Jeroen Pruyn (0000-0002-4496-4544, Delft University of Technology), Geerten Van De Kaa (0000-0002-2939-4360, Delft University of Technology)
Year2026
Volume60
Pages101128
Publication date2026-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Innovation and Societal Transitions (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2210-4224 • E-ISSN: 2210-4232
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.eist.2026.101128
OpenAlexW7140214011
LanguageEN
References cited52

Real-time mission-oriented transition assessment (MOTA) is presented. • Real-time MOTA helps policymakers co-anticipate mission barriers. • A conceptualization and typology of mission barriers is proposed. • A real-time MOTA with 124 stakeholders of a Dutch maritime mission is conducted. • Real-time MOTA appears suited for early explorations of mission barriers. Anticipatory governance supports mission-oriented innovation policy by identifying, mitigating, and preparing for barriers that impede socio-technical transformations. While recent research introduced the Mission-Oriented Transition Assessment as a formative approach to mission governance, we insufficiently understand how this approach helps govern missions over a sustained period. This study applies a ‘real-time’ Mission-Oriented Transition Assessment to yield longitudinal insights into how mission barriers are foreseen, constructed, and responded to by stakeholders. We do so in the context of the Dutch maritime mission ‘Climate neutral shipping by 2050′. The results of 14 assessments over a period of 1.5 years with 124 stakeholder representatives show how 19 mission barriers are collectively anticipated, explicated, and acted upon. As such, this paper conceptualizes and empirically explores the usefulness of a ‘real-time’ Mission-Oriented Transition Assessment as a formative approach to anticipatory mission governance

Conceptualization · Context (archaeology) · Corporate governance · Formative assessment · Stakeholder · Transition (genetics) · Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency · Supply Chain Resilience and Risk Management · Tourism, Volunteerism, and Development

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