Some observations on the use of probability scales in forensic identification

Bibliographic Data

ID19535255
AuthorsA P A Broeders (corresponding author)
Year1999
Volume6
Issue2
Pages228-241
Publication date1999-01-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Speech Language and the Law (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-8885 • E-ISSN: 1748-8893
PublisherUniversity of Toronto Press Inc. (UTPress) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1558/sll.1999.6.2.228
OpenAlexW2180455119
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited1

The increasing prominence of DNA technology as an evidential tool, coupled with the growing interest in the application of Bayesian statistics that has followed in its wake, is making itself increasingly felt in many fields of forensic expertise. It has given fresh impetus to the ongoing discussion about the expression of conclusions in those areas where interpretation of the findings plays an important role, as in handwriting analysis and speaker identification. Recent casework is used to illustrate the inadequacy of some of the present scales and for areas such as writer and speaker identification a modified probability scale is advocated to replace them. The implications of the continued use of ‘logically incorrect’ conclusions – those which address the probability of a hypothesis given the evidence rather than the probability of the evidence given a hypothesis – are examined with particular reference to handwriting and speaker identification

Archaeology · Bayes' theorem · Bayesian probability · Cognitive psychology · Data science · Forensic identification · Forensic science · Frequentist probability · Geography · Handwriting · Natural language processing · Computer Science · Handwritten Text Recognition Techniques · History · Jury Decision Making Processes · Natural Language Processing Techniques · Psychology · Artificial Intelligence

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