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Assessing Africa’s child survival gains and prospects for attaining SDG target on child mortality

Bibliographic Data

ID19590700
AuthorsSunday A Adedini (0000-0003-0378-1941, University of the Witwatersrand, corresponding author), Seun Anjorin (0000-0003-0187-6410, University of Oxford, corresponding author), Seun Stephen Anjorin, Jacob Wale Mobolaji (0000-0002-4996-9387, Obafemi Awolowo University, corresponding author), Elvis Anyaehiechukwu Okolie (0000-0003-2283-8077, Teesside University, corresponding author), Sanni Yaya (0000-0002-4876-6043, University of Ottawa, corresponding author)
EditorsShaonong Dang (0000-0002-6980-8169)
Year2024
Volume4
Issue7
Pagese0003022
Publication date2024-07-10
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePLOS Global Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2767-3375 • E-ISSN: 2767-3375
PublisherPublic Library of Science (PLoS) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1371/journal.pgph.0003022
PMID38985728
OpenAlexW4400488766
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited17

This study assessed Africa’s child survival gains and prospects for attaining Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) target 3.2. We analysed multiple country-level secondary datasets of 54 African countries and presented spatial analysis. Results showed that only 8 out of the 54 African countries have achieved substantial reductions in under-5 mortality with an under-five mortality rate (U5MR) of 25 deaths per 1,000 live births or less. Many countries are far from achieving this target. Results of the predictions using supervised machine learning on the Bayesian network reveal that the probability of achieving the SDG target 3.2 (i.e., having U5MR of 25 deaths per 1000 live births or less) increases (from 21.6% to 100%) when the contraceptive prevalence increases from 49.8% to 78.5%; and the use of skilled birth attendants increases from 44.8% to 86.3%; and percentage of secondary school completion of female increases from 42.5 to 74.0%. Our results from Local indicator of spatial autocorrelation (LISA) cluster maps show that 7 countries (mainly in West/Central Africa) formed the high-high clusters (hotspots for U5M) and may not achieve the SDG target 3.2 unless urgent and appropriate investments are deployed. As 2030 approaches, there is a need to address the problem of limited access to quality health care, female illiteracy, limited access to safe water, and poor access to quality family planning services, particularly across many sub-Saharan African countries

Child mortality · Developing country · Economic growth · Economics · Environmental health · Family planning · Functional illiteracy · Geography · Infant mortality · Landlocked country · Political science · Population · Research methodology · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Global Maternal and Child Health · Medicine

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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