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El impacto de la (in)seguridad ciudadana y la inmigración en el apoyo a la democracia. Evidencia observacional de Ecuador (2020-2024)

Bibliographic Data

ID19687890
AuthorsSebastián Umpierrez De Reguero (0000-0002-5464-0690, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas), Diego Alejandro Casas-Ramírez (0000-0001-6414-364X, Diego Portales University), Leticia Orcés Pareja (Universidad Casa Grande), Alejandro García Borja (Universidad Casa Grande)
Year2026
Issue65
Pages1-24
Publication date2026-01-19
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueMigraciones Publicación del Instituto Universitario de Estudios sobre Migraciones (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1138-5774 • E-ISSN: 2341-0833
PublisherUniversidad Pontificia Comillas (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.14422/mig.23031.001
OpenAlexW7126114292
LanguageES
References cited45

In Latin America, although the impact of contextual determinants on democratic disaffection has been investigated, the nexus between anti-immigrant attitudes, perceptions of citizen (in)security, and support for democracy has not been systematically examined. The goal of this article, therefore, is to contribute to filling this gap through an analysis of the Ecuadorian case—a country marked by institutional crises and a massive inflow of immigrants. The study relies on data from the Latinobarómetro (2020 and 2023, N=1200 each) and post-stratified online surveys (2021 and 2024, N=1289 and N=597). The methodological approach combines Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regressions and Structural Equation Models (SEM) in order to identify both direct effects and relationships among latent variables. The findings indicate that perceived victimization has a limited impact, whereas punitive attitudes and pluralism are positively associated with support for democracy. By contrast, immigration does not exert significant direct effects, although it is linked to perceptions of security and institutional trust

Democracy · Immigration · Latin Americans · Nexus (standard) · Order (exchange) · Perception · Punitive damages · Structural equation modeling · Citizenship Education and Democracy · Law, Ethics, and AI Impact · War, Law, and Justice

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