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A Causal Map Framework to Explain Support for Strong Leaders in Politics

Bibliographic Data

ID20109079
AuthorsF Rigoli (0000-0003-2233-934X, City St George's, University of London London UK, corresponding author)
Year2026
Publication date2026-05-06
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Social Science Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-8701 • E-ISSN: 1468-2451
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/issj.70051
OpenAlexW7160422690
LanguageEN
References cited39

The article introduces a computational theory explaining why some people support strong leaders in politics, arguing that this support sometimes arises because people view a strong leader as means to address social problems. The theory proposes that people develop a causal map concerning the consequences of the rise of a strong leader. This predicts that support for strong leaders grows when a person believes that a strong leader fosters unity within the community, that unity is needed to address social problems and that failure to address the problems is costly. These predictions are corroborated in three experimental online studies based on vignettes. The theory clarifies why support for strong leaders is often situational (e.g., it occurs only when the leader is thought to foster unity) and why it can sometimes emerge within groups (e.g., the political left and centre) that typically dislike strong leaders as such

Causal model · Political philosophy · Politics · Situational ethics · Social theory · Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Social Power and Status Dynamics

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