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The variable impact of Enso events on regional dengue/DHF in Indonesia

Bibliographic Data

ID20153502
AuthorsPaula Arcari (0000-0002-1803-0772, School of Global, Urban and Social Studies RMIT University Melbourne Australia, corresponding author), Nigel Tapper (0000-0002-3207-9978, School of Geography and Environmental Sciences Monash University Melbourne Australia)
Year2017
Volume38
Issue1
Pages5-24
Publication date2017-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSingapore Journal of Tropical Geography (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0129-7619 • E-ISSN: 1467-9493
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/sjtg.12179
OpenAlexW2586073555
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited27

Although studies have demonstrated significant associations between ENSO events and dengue fever, few have explored regional impacts on dengue fever of separate events. This study explores the impacts of two ENSO events on regional patterns of dengue/ dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) incidence in Indonesia. Data consist of monthly cases of dengue/DHF from 1992 to 2001 for each of Indonesia's 27 provinces, and monthly figures for rainfall, rainfall anomalies, temperature, relative humidity and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). We conducted Pearson correlation analyses for each independent variable against dengue/DHF incidence, using a direct month‐by‐month correlation and applying a lag of between one and six months to each variable with respect to dengue/DHF incidence. Based on the SOI value, we identified two ENSO events between 1992 and 2001. To explore each event, we created two dummy variables and in regression analyses for eight provinces. The variance of between 12.9 per cent and 24.5 per cent in provincial dengue/DHF incidence is explained by two or three climate variables in each of the provinces (p

Climatology · Dengue fever · Dengue haemorrhagic fever · Dengue virus · El Niño Southern Oscillation · Geography · Incidence (geometry) · Demography · Malaria Research and Control · Mathematics · Medicine · Mosquito-borne diseases and control · Viral Infections and Vectors · Virology

  • El Niño Southern Oscillation as an early warning tool for dengue outbreak in India

    Open Access•Malay Pramanik, Malay Kumar Pramanik et al.•BMC Public Health•2020

  • Climate and Dengue Transmission

    Open Access•Cory W Morin, Andrew C Comrie et al.•Environmental Health Perspectives•2013

  • Dengue and Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever

    Open Access•Duane J Gubler•Clinical Microbiology Reviews•1998

  • Regional variability in relationships between climate and dengue/DHF in Indonesia

    Open Access•Paula Arcari, Nigel Tapper et al.•Singapore Journal of Tropical…•2007

  • An investigation into the cyclical incidence of dengue fever

    Open Access•Joseph Keating•Social Science & Medicine•2001

Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,17
Citation span2020 - 2020 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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