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Assessing Export Optimism Versus Export Pessimism in Tropical Countries

Bibliographic Data

ID20153668
AuthorsJennie Poon (0000-0001-7449-4064, corresponding author), Jessie Poon
Year1994
Volume15
Issue1
Pages41-55
Publication date1994-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSingapore Journal of Tropical Geography (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0129-7619 • E-ISSN: 1467-9493
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1467-9493.1994.tb00244.x
OpenAlexW2153779771
LanguageEN
References cited26

This paper attempts to reconcile two major conflicting viewpoints regarding the effects of export expansion on economic growth. The first, export optimism, looks to supply factors such as international competitiveness with the view that a favourable export performance results in significant economic growth for a country. The second, export pessimism, argues that exports only contribute significantly to a country's economic growth when the external demand is favourable. Using the Expansion Methodology, the paper shows that the effects of demand and supply factors on the relationship between export growth and economic growth are about the same. The results suggest that while unfavourable demand weakens the aforementioned relationship, tropical countries can offset this by being competitive in their exports. They also caution against excessive weight being given to export-promotion by export optimists as the exports-growth relationship weakens considerably when the external demand falls

Biology · Development economics · Economics · Geography · Optimism · Pessimism · Tropics · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Global trade and economics · International Development and Aid · Philosophy · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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