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Rethinking Intelligence Failure

China’s Intervention in the Korean War

Bibliographic Data

ID20185094
AuthorsJonathan Corrado (corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume36
Issue1
Pages199-219
Publication date2023-01-02
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0885-0607 • E-ISSN: 1521-0561
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/08850607.2021.1938905
OpenAlexW3182098698
LanguageEN
Citations received1

How did the U.S. Intelligence Community and policymakers fail to predict and prepare for China’s entrance into the Korean War and North Korea’s invasion? Diplomatic cables, personal accounts, and declassified national security documents reveal that warnings about possible intervention were undercut by contradicting analysis. Cognitive bias led to faulty assumptions and ambiguous conclusions. The negative effects of bias and politicization were mutually reinforcing, imperiling the efforts of actors who tried in vain to address them. Lessons gleaned from this history shed light on insights for persistent security challenges, such as the relationship between miscalculation and escalation and the difficulty of knowing one’s adversary, as well as America’s present strategic competition with China

Adversary · China · Cold war · Computer security · Intelligence analysis · National security · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Public relations · Sociology · Computer Science · Intelligence, Security, War Strategy · Law · Psychology

  • Cognitive biases in military intelligence analysis

    Open Access•Yupeng Huo, litongxing yu et al.•BMC Psychology•2026

Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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