Intelligence Analysis and Judgmental Calibration
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 20185284 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Steven Rieber (corresponding author) |
| Year | 2004 |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 97-112 |
| Publication date | 2004-01-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0885-0607 • E-ISSN: 1521-0561 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/08850600490273431 |
| OpenAlex | W2195589292 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 9 |
| References cited | 12 |
Intelligence analysis often requires making not only a prediction but also a rough estimate of the probability of the predicted outcome. Yet, a substantial body of evidence suggests that experts te
Calibration · Computer security · Econometrics · Intelligence analysis · Mathematical economics · Statistics · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Forecasting Techniques and Applications · Mathematics · Psychology · Artificial Intelligence
Change the Analyst and Not the System
Geopolitical Forecasting Skill in Strategic Intelligence
Communicating Uncertainty in Intelligence and Other Professions
Putting a Little More “Time” into Strategic Intelligence Analysis
Assessment Base
Intelligence Methodologies Applicable to the Madrid Train Bombings, 2004
Improving All-Source Intelligence Analysis
Predicting Known Terrorist Event Outcomes and the Illusion of Self‐Assessed Expertise
The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment
| Unique citing works | 9 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,43 |
| Citation span | 2005 - 2019 (15) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 9 |