Covid-19 economic shocks and fiscal policy options for Ghana

Dados Bibliográficos

ID20201518
AutoresKomla D Dzigbede (0000-0001-6358-139X, Binghamton University), Rahul Pathak (0000-0003-2611-6776, Baruch College)
Ano2020
Volume32
Fascículo5
Páginas903-917
Data de publicação2020-10-30
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Public Budgeting Accounting & Financial Management (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1096-3367 • E-ISSN: 1945-1814
EditoraEmerald (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1108/jpbafm-07-2020-0127
OpenAlexW3096256968
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas12
Referências citadas6

Purpose This article examines the fiscal challenges the coronavirus pandemic poses in African countries, using Ghana as a case study and summarizes the country's immediate monetary and fiscal responses to the pandemic. The article also discusses the potential impacts of coronavirus-related shocks on the Ghana economy and policy options the national government may pursue to counteract the pandemic's adverse long-term effects. Design/methodology/approach The article uses daily and monthly economic indicators to assess the immediate impact of the pandemic on Ghana's economy. The article also uses latest data from the Ghana Living Standards Survey (GLSS) to simulate potential shocks to the economy related to the coronavirus crisis and examines the outcomes from a potential government response that expands spending on an existing direct social assistance program. Findings The authors find that the coronavirus pandemic is associated with a significant increase in Ghana's poverty measures over time, and an expansion in government spending under an existing cash transfer program would partly offset the economic shocks related to the crisis and improve outcomes for poverty and inequality. The authors also argue that other well-targeted expenditure and revenue policies will support long-term economic resilience. Research limitations/implications The research suggests that a temporary expansion of the existing program of direct cash payments to poor households may be an effective social protection policy, as are well-targeted revenue and spending policies that support economic recovery and long-term fiscal sustainability. Practical implications The findings imply that while the pandemic might cause severe shocks in the economy, well-targeted spending and revenue policies that are anchored in sound macroeconomic management can promote economic resilience and long-term fiscal sustainability. Social implications Public managers must ensure that national policy responses to the coronavirus pandemic consider socio-economic indicators, such as poverty and income inequality. Originality/value The authors present research that uses novel household-level data and an evidence-based microsimulation framework to articulate potential public policy strategies that can guide national responses to, and recovery from, the coronavirus pandemic

Business · Development economics · Economic growth · Economic impact analysis · Economic inequality · Economic policy · Economic recovery · Economics · Fiscal policy · Fiscal sustainability · Government revenue · Inequality · Macroeconomics · Pandemic · Poverty · Public economics · Revenue · Agricultural risk and resilience · Income, Poverty, and Inequality · Urban and Rural Development Challenges · Finance