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Towards multi-variable tsunami damage modeling for coastal roads

Insights from the application of explainable machine learning to the 2011 Great East Japan Event

Bibliographic Data

ID21228446
AuthorsMario Di Bacco (0000-0002-2483-3977, University of Florence), James H Williams (0000-0003-2611-237X, University of Canterbury), Daisuke Sugawara (0000-0003-0025-4011, Tohoku University), Anna Rita Scorzini (0000-0002-5704-8481, University of L'Aquila, corresponding author)
Year2024
Volume115
Pages105856
Publication date2024-11-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSustainable Cities and Society (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2210-6707 • E-ISSN: 2210-6715
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.scs.2024.105856
OpenAlexW4402912586
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited50

Novel machine-learning approach for assessing tsunami-induced road damage. • Multi-variable nature of tsunami damage mechanisms to roads. • Traditional fragility functions may not fully capture complex damage mechanisms. • Geospatial analysis can support in retrieving features to enhance model accuracy. The accurate assessment of tsunami-induced damage to coastal roads is crucial for effective disaster risk management. Traditional approaches, reliant on univariate fragility functions, often fail to capture the complex interplay of variables influencing road damage during tsunami events. This study addresses this limitation by employing machine learning techniques on an extensive dataset compiled after the 2011 Great East Japan tsunami. The dataset, enriched with additional explicative variables accounting for the hydraulic features of the event and the physical characteristics at roads’ location, enables a comprehensive analysis of road damage mechanisms. Results indicate that while inundation depth remains a significant predictor, factors such as wave approach angle, road orientation and potential overflow from inland watercourses also play critical roles

Forensic engineering · Geography · Computer Science · earthquake and tectonic studies · Earthquake and Tsunami Effects · Engineering · Mathematics · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Artificial Intelligence

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Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Highly citedNo

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