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Japan and China

The Next Fifty Years

Dados Bibliográficos

ID2132004
AutoresVaclav Smil (0000-0002-8142-298X, autor correspondente)
Ano2006
Volume4
Fascículo9
Data de publicação2006-09-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJapan focus (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1557-4660 • E-ISSN: 1557-4660
EditoraCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s1557466006005377
OpenAlexW4410181364
IdiomaEN

Major trends that are gradually changing the fortunes of nations and reshaping world history are not easy to identify. There are three key reasons for this. First, many important trends unfold so insidiously that they are recognized only ex post once the developments reach a breaking point and a long-term trend ends in a stunning discontinuity. Second, we cannot foresee which trends will become so embedded as to be seemingly immune to external forces and which ones will suddenly veer away from predictable lines. Third, what follows afterward is often equally unpredictable: the beginning of a new long-lasting trend or a prolonged oscillation, a further intensification or an irreversible weakening

Ancient history · Archaeology · China · Geography · History · International Relations and Foreign Policy

Velocidade de citaçãohistorical
Altamente citadoNão
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