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Climate change and commercial property markets

Bibliographic Data

ID21352886
AuthorsDavid C Ling (0000-0001-9395-0395, Eugene F. Brigham Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Department University of Florida Gainesville Florida USA), Spenser Robinson (0000-0003-4859-3004, Department of Finance and Law Central Michigan University Mount Pleasant Michigan USA, corresponding author), Andrew R Sanderford (Department of Finance University of Virginia Charlottesville Virginia USA), Andrew Sanderford (0000-0003-4301-6670, University of Virginia), Chongyu Wang (0000-0003-3754-2383, Department of Risk Management/Insurance, Real Estate and Legal Studies Florida State University Tallahassee Florida USA)
Year2024
Volume64
Issue4
Pages1066-1098
Publication date2024-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Regional Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-4146 • E-ISSN: 1467-9787
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/jors.12717
OpenAlexW4399782687
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited62

The economic effect of climate hazard events varies by time and by location. This paper investigates how climate shocks to local property markets transmit to capital markets and provides evidence of the extent to which forward‐looking climate risk is capitalized into the public valuations of those property markets. We first quantify the exposure of real estate portfolios to locations that recently experienced climate events ( Event Exposure ). Using an event study framework, we find that, in the post‐event period, a one‐standard‐deviation increase in ex‐ante Event Exposure is associated with a 0.2–1.4 percentage points decrease in quarterly stock returns. Cross‐sectional analyses reveal that differences in return effects can be explained by variation in the extent to which the area focuses on climate change. Similarly, we find that forward‐looking climate risk assessment negatively affects firm valuations only in markets with a focus on climate change. Consistent with these findings, we provide evidence that climate events (shocks) induce retail investors (noise traders) to decrease their stock holdings and that blockholders tend to take the opposite side in these transactions. We also show that conditioning on consumer sentiment helps to explain cross‐sectional variation in the response of stock returns to climate events

Business · Capital market · Climate change · Econometrics · Economics · Event study · Ex-ante · Financial economics · Geography · Monetary economics · Real estate · Stock (firearms) · Finance · Financial Markets and Investment Strategies · Housing Market and Economics · Insurance and Financial Risk Management

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0,5
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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