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Adopting different wind-assisted ship propulsion technologies as fleet retrofit

An agent-based modeling approach

Bibliographic Data

ID21401049
AuthorsManuel Chica (0000-0002-4717-1056, Universidad de Granada), Roberto Rivas Hermann (0000-0003-3970-5481, Nord University, corresponding author), Ning Lin (0000-0002-5571-1606, Nord University)
Year2023
Volume192
Pages122559
Publication date2023-07-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueTechnological Forecasting and Social Change (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0040-1625 • E-ISSN: 1873-5509
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122559
OpenAlexW4362660460
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited51

The maritime shipping industry will increasingly switch to low carbon fuels and adopt energy saving technologies (ESTs) to achieve the industry target of decarbonization. Among ESTs, deck equipment, including those based on wind propulsion technologies (WPTs), represents the largest potential fuel savings and a source of increasing innovation initiatives by industry actors. Previous contributions to WPT innovation have addressed barriers and drivers for increased adoption in the industry but failed to consider the specific aspects of the fleet retrofitting market. Through an agent-based simulation model, this work studies the effects of different policy and market scenarios (subsidies, fuel prices, and networking) on the adoption of WPT retrofitting solutions. The proposed model incorporates two decision steps for each vessel to adopt the technology (acquiring awareness of the technology, and a utility decision process to determine the WPT option). The study also expands on previous knowledge by modeling three WPT options and by integrating real world data of technology costs and their fuel savings as well as vessel features. Insights from simulations allow to identify the most convenient policies as well as the potential of alternative models to reduce introduction barriers (e.g., product-service business models)

Business · Business model · Economics · Environmental economics · Industrial organization · Process (computing) · Product (mathematics) · Propulsion · Retrofitting · Service (business) · Subsidy · Work (physics) · Computer Science · Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Engineering · Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting · Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency · Marketing

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Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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