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Is scientific reticence hindering climate understanding

Bibliographic Data

ID21428288
AuthorsDavid Spratt, David M Spratt (0000-0003-3350-7361, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume81
Issue2
Pages107-113
Publication date2025-03-04
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueBulletin of the Atomic Scientists (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0096-3402 • E-ISSN: 1938-3282
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00963402.2025.2464442
OpenAlexW4408372803
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited18

Physical climate risks are systemic, non-linear, and cascading in a manner not incorporated into climate models. Particular attention should be given to the plausible high-end possibilities, and not the mid-range probabilities, because the worst-case scenarios will result in great and potentially existential damage. The bulk of climate research has tended to underplay these risks, and exhibited a preference for conservative projections and scholarly reticence—although increasing numbers of scientists have spoken out on the dangers of such an approach. This reticence is clearly displayed in the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which consistently errs on the side of “least drama,” downplays the more extreme possibilities, and offers mitigation paths with unacceptable risks of failure. The drivers of this reticence are methodological, political, and social

Astrobiology · Environmental ethics · Physics · Political science · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Climate Change and Geoengineering · Climate Change Communication and Perception · Philosophy

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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