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Researcher capacity estimation based on the Q model

A generalized linear mixed model perspective

Bibliographic Data

ID21443284
AuthorsBoris Forthmann (0000-0001-9755-7304, University of Münster, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume128
Issue8
Pages4753-4764
Publication date2023-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueScientometrics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0138-9130 • E-ISSN: 1588-2861
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1007/s11192-023-04756-9
OpenAlexW4379470274
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited23

Chance models of scientific creative productivity allow estimation of researcher capacity. One prominent such model is the Q model in which the impact of a scholarly work is modeled as a multiplicative function of researcher capacity and a potential impact (i.e., luck) parameter. Previous work estimated researcher capacity based on an approximation of the Q parameter. In this work, however, I outline how the Q model can be estimated within the framework of generalized linear mixed models. This way estimates of researcher capacity (and all other parameters of the Q model) are readily available and obtained by standard statistical software packages. Usage of such software further allows comparing different distributional assumptions and calculation of reliability of the Q parameter (i.e., researcher capacity). This is illustrated for a large dataset of multidisciplinary scientists ( N = 20,296). The Poisson Q model was found to have negligibly better predictive accuracy than the original normal Q model. Reliability estimates revealed excellent reliability of Q estimates with conditional reliability being mostly in acceptable ranges. Reliability of Q parameter estimates further depended heavily on the number of publications of a scientist with reliability increasing with the number of papers. The future and limitations of the Q model in the context of researcher capacity estimation are thoroughly discussed

Context (archaeology) · Econometrics · Economics · Estimation · Estimation theory · Function (biology) · Generalized linear model · Mathematical analysis · Multiplicative function · Physics · Poisson distribution · Reliability (semiconductor) · Statistics · Applied Mathematics · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Mathematics · Meta-analysis and systematic reviews

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    Open Access•Boris Forthmann, Natalie Förster et al.•Frontiers in Education•2022

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    Open Access•Boris Forthmann, Philipp Doebler•Scientometrics•2021

  • The Reliability of Ratio Scores

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    Open Access•Pere J Ferrando, Urbano Lorenzo‐Seva et al.•Educational and Psychological…•2018

  • The age decrement in outstanding scientific contributions

    Wayne Dennis•American Psychologist•1958

Unique citing works2
Citations per year1
Citation span2024 - 2024 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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