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Growing Safely or Building Risk

Floodplain Management in North Carolina

Bibliographic Data

ID21476830
AuthorsMiyuki Hino (0000-0001-9369-5769, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill), Todd K Bendor (0000-0003-0132-7702, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill), Jordan Branham (0000-0002-5793-4846, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill), Nikhil Kaza (0000-0002-9536-7643, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill), Antonia Sebastian (0000-0002-4309-2561, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill), Shane Sweeney (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill)
Year2024
Volume90
Issue1
Pages50-62
Publication date2024-01-02
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of the American Planning Association (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0194-4363 • E-ISSN: 1939-0130
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/01944363.2022.2141821
OpenAlexW4319789768
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited44

Problem, research strategy, and findings Limiting housing and infrastructure in flood-prone places has long been recognized as critical to managing long-term risk. However, due to the difficulty of tracking development at small spatial scales, little empirical research has been conducted to explain differences between communities’ floodplain development patterns. We analyzed new construction across 5 million parcels in the state of North Carolina to develop standardized measures of floodplain development and evaluated the relationships between flood risk management effort and development outcomes. Statewide, for every property removed through buyouts from 1996 to 2017, more than 10 new residences were built in floodplains. At the community level, indicators of flood risk management effort (participation in the Community Rating System and use of buyouts) did not consistently align with floodplain development outcomes. Based on a sample of urban and suburban counties, we found more than 75,000 acres of vacant floodplain land currently zoned for development. Although we did not capture the full range of flood risk mitigation practices, results indicate that local development policies often run counter to efforts to limit long-term risk.Takeaway for practice Land use planning and floodplain management have the potential to play a larger role in flood risk mitigation. Modifying federal programs to more strongly disincentivize floodplain development could enhance local regulation and minimize future flood exposure. Given extensive undeveloped floodplain land and projected climate change, additional effort to manage development is needed to limit increases in flood risk

Business · Civil engineering · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Flood mitigation · Flood myth · Flood risk management · Floodplain · Geography · Land use · Risk management · Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration · Disaster Management and Resilience · Engineering · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Finance

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  • Urban Floodplain Development, Building Damage Exposure, and the Economic Feasibility of Flood Mitigation

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  • Home buyouts

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  • A benefit–cost analysis of floodplain land acquisition for US flood damage reduction

    Open Access•Kris Johnson, Oliver Wing et al.•Nature Sustainability•2019

  • Promoting equity in retreat through voluntary property buyout programs

    Open Access•Caroline M Kraan, Miyuki Hino et al.•Journal of Environmental Studies…•2021

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  • Complexities and costs of floodplain buyout implementation

    Open Access•William Curran-Groome, Miyuki Hino et al.•Land Use Policy•2022

  • Open space protection and flood mitigation

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Unique citing works6
Citations per year6
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6

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