Untimely Reopening? Increase in the Number of New Covid‐19 Cases After Reopening in One Brazilian State
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 21512987 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Izabela Sobiech Pellegrini (0000-0003-2759-9773, School of Arts, Sciences and Humanities University of São Paulo São Paulo Brazil, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2022 |
| Volume | 84 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 675-693 |
| Publication date | 2022-08-01 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0305-9049 • E-ISSN: 1468-0084 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/obes.12477 |
| OpenAlex | W4200274008 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 14 |
Santa Catarina was one of the first Brazilian states to allow businesses to reopen on 22 April 2020. I apply the synthetic control method to evaluate the impact of the reopening on incidence of daily COVID‐19 cases in Santa Catarina, including 17 Brazilian states in the donor pool. Conclusions about causality between the government measures and the infection spread can be made, although with caution, given the setup of a natural experiment and not actually randomly assigned treatment. The results are robust and show that the reopening leads to a faster spread of the virus, causing between 13.8% and 50% of all infections recorded in the following weeks. This study corroborates the recommendation for policies limiting circulation of people as a means to mitigate the spread of novel infectious diseases
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak · Business · Development economics · Economics · Geography · Limiting · Outbreak · Physics · Sociology · Computer Science · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts · Demography · Engineering · Mathematics · Medicine · Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy · Internal Medicine · Virology
Using Synthetic Controls
The Macroeconomics of Epidemics
Political Beliefs affect Compliance with Covid-19 Social Distancing Orders
Sars-CoV-2 antibody prevalence in Brazil
How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the Covid-19 epidemic?
Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies
Cherry Picking with Synthetic Controls
The Economic Costs of Conflict
| Citations per year | 0.67 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2023 - 2024 (2) |
| Highly cited | No |