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Predicting Recidivism

The Perspectives of Both Probation Practitioners and Clients on Their Working Alliance

Bibliographic Data

ID21513719
AuthorsAnnelies Sturm (0000-0001-5463-7232, HU University of Applied Sciences, The Netherlands, corresponding author), Anneke Menger (HU University of Applied Sciences, The Netherlands)
Year2026
Pages306624X261445407-306624X261445407
Publication date2026-05-13
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0306-624X • E-ISSN: 1552-6933
PublisherSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/0306624x261445407
PMID42130162
OpenAlexW7161158264
LanguageEN
References cited35

While there is growing evidence that the probation client-rated working alliance relates to recidivism, the practitioner’s view has received little attention. This study explored that association. A sample of 176 probationer-practitioner-client dyads was used. Probation practitioner and client-ratings of the working alliance (WAMCI) at two time points were used for Cox-regression analyses. Confounders were history of previous convictions and age of first conviction. The probation-practitioner-rated working alliance was found to be associated with recidivism, even when crime history was taken into account. The combined working alliance score of the dyad was found to be strongly associated with recidivism. The largest difference is caused when both score high or low. The results indicated a substantial association between the combined probation practitioner-client ratings and recidivism in the subsequent 4 years of the clients. These findings underscore the importance of a reciprocal collaboration between the client and the probation practitioner as a crucial component in the pathway toward desistance

Alliance · Dyad · Recidivism · Reciprocal · Suicide prevention · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis · Human Factors and Ergonomics · Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending

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Highly citedNo

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